NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
Goffertstadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70%
Odds 5.42
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70%
5.42
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.44
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
13.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
19.00
Probability Distribution
NEC Nijmegen Win 26.8%
Draw 3.2%
Excelsior Win 70%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC Nijmegen1.72
Excelsior2.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
WWDLW
24 GF / 18 GA
Excelsior Excelsior
WLDWL
23 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
3.29
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
9
BTTS Yes
5
9
Over 2.5
6
6.2
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 12 matches
Excelsior Excelsior 7 matches
NEC Nijmegen Statistic Excelsior
4 Wins 6
2 Draws 0
6 Losses 1
24 Goals For 23
18 Goals Against 9
2 Avg Goals Scored 3.29
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
9 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
6.2 Shots On Goal 5.5
19.8 Total Shots 11.5
5.4 Corners 4.5
61.6% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 6 times, Excelsior won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:22 from NEC Nijmegen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)
Predicted formations: NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1 / Excelsior 4-3-3
H2H summary: NEC Nijmegen wins 6, draws 2, Excelsior wins 6
Last matches: NEC Nijmegen
25.08.26
UEF
NEC Nijmegen
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
19.08.26
UEF
NEC Nijmegen
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
15.08.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Willem II
4
1
W
11.08.26
UEF
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
1
W
08.08.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
2
L
04.08.26
UEF
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
31.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Sevilla
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Al-Fayha
7
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Anderlecht
2
3
L
08.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
MSV Duisburg
2
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
De Treffers
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
2
2
D
Last matches: Excelsior
15.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
H2H: NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
04.04.26
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
W
09.08.25
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
5
0
W
06.05.24
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
3
W
13.08.23
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
4
L
19.02.23
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
3
W
08.10.22
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
1
1
D
09.04.21
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
2
1
L
08.01.21
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
2
W
10.04.20
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
0
D
06.12.19
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
2
1
L
29.10.19
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
4
2
L
25.09.18
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
2
3
W
22.04.17
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
1
L
18.12.16
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
26.02.16
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
2
0
L
Last matches: NEC Nijmegen
19.08.26
UEF
NEC Nijmegen
Bodo/Glimt
1
3
L
11.08.26
UEF
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
1
W
08.08.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Sevilla
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Al-Fayha
7
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
MSV Duisburg
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
2
2
D
08.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
3
0
W
28.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2
3
L
11.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
1
3
L
07.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heracles
4
1
W
24.01.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
20.12.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
2
2
D
29.11.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
3
1
W
09.11.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
2
0
W
H2H at home: NEC Nijmegen
09.08.25
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
5
0
W
13.08.23
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
4
L
08.10.22
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
1
1
D
08.01.21
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
2
W
10.04.20
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
0
D
22.04.17
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
1
L
Last matches: Excelsior
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
24.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
0
0
D
21.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
5
L
22.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
1
W
01.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
26.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
2
L
04.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
2
1
W
H2H away: Excelsior
09.08.25
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
5
0
L
13.08.23
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
4
W
08.10.22
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
1
1
D
08.01.21
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
2
L
10.04.20
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
0
D
22.04.17
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.42
Draw 4.77
Home 1.51
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.56
Draw 2.78
Home 1.93
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.67
Over 3.25 1.90
Over 3.5 2.12
Over 3.75 2.41
Over 4.5 3.51
Over 5.5 6.42
Under 1.5 5.80
Under 2.5 2.79
Under 2.75 2.52
Under 3.0 2.23
Under 3.25 1.93
Under 3.5 1.74
Under 3.75 1.57
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 4.50
Home 1.44
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.75
Home 1.91
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 3.00
Home 1.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.12
Draw 4.78
Home 1.49
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.45
Draw 2.55
Home 1.89
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 3.08
Home 1.71
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 1.75 1.12
Over 2.0 1.14
Over 2.25 1.27
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 2.75 1.51
Over 3.0 1.64
Over 3.25 1.92
Over 3.5 2.14
Over 3.75 2.31
Over 4.0 2.77
Over 4.25 2.98
Over 4.5 3.24
Over 4.75 3.92
Over 5.0 5.10
Over 5.25 5.39
Over 5.5 5.65
Over 6.0 9.30
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 18.50
Under 1.0 9.50
Under 1.5 5.20
Under 1.75 4.80
Under 2.0 4.40
Under 2.25 3.14
Under 2.5 2.57
Under 2.75 2.34
Under 3.0 2.08
Under 3.25 1.92
Under 3.5 1.74
Under 3.75 1.52
Under 4.0 1.37
Under 4.25 1.30
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 4.75 1.18
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.25 1.09
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.0 1.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 4.80
Home 1.46
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 2.60
Home 1.87
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 3.25
Home 1.74
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.52
Over 3.0 1.65
Over 3.25 1.87
Over 3.5 2.08
Over 3.75 2.38
Over 4.0 2.88
Over 4.25 3.20
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 12.00
Under 1.5 6.10
Under 2.5 2.80
Under 2.75 2.50
Under 3.0 2.23
Under 3.25 1.92
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 3.75 1.57
Under 4.0 1.41
Under 4.25 1.35
Under 4.5 1.29
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.02