Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
NEC Nijmegen Win 0%
Draw 0%
Excelsior Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
NEC Nijmegen1.67
Excelsior2.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
NEC Nijmegen
WWDLW
16 GF / 11 GA
Excelsior
WLDWL
22 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
3.67
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
9
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
NEC Nijmegen
8 matches
Excelsior
6 matches
| NEC Nijmegen | Statistic | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 4 | Losses | 0 |
| 16 | Goals For | 22 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.67 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 9 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 18 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 54% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 6 times, Excelsior won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:22 from NEC Nijmegen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.
Predicted formations: NEC Nijmegen 3-1-4-2 / Excelsior 4-3-3
H2H summary: NEC Nijmegen wins 6, draws 2, Excelsior wins 6
Last matches: NEC Nijmegen
04.08.26
UEF
NEC Nijmegen
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
31.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Sevilla
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Al-Fayha
7
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Anderlecht
2
3
L
08.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
MSV Duisburg
2
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
De Treffers
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
W
08.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
3
0
W
28.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2
3
L
21.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
1
1
D
17.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
1
1
D
Last matches: Excelsior
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
01.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
H2H: NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior
04.04.26
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
W
09.08.25
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
5
0
W
06.05.24
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
3
W
13.08.23
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
4
L
19.02.23
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
3
W
08.10.22
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
1
1
D
09.04.21
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
2
1
L
08.01.21
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
2
W
10.04.20
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
0
D
06.12.19
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
2
1
L
29.10.19
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
4
2
L
25.09.18
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
2
3
W
22.04.17
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
1
L
18.12.16
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
26.02.16
H2H
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
2
0
L
Last matches: NEC Nijmegen
31.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Sevilla
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
SV Elversberg
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
Al-Fayha
7
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
NEC Nijmegen
MSV Duisburg
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Telstar
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
2
2
D
08.03.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
FC Volendam
3
0
W
28.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
2
3
L
11.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
1
3
L
07.02.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Heracles
4
1
W
24.01.26
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
20.12.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
2
2
D
29.11.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
3
1
W
09.11.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
2
0
W
18.10.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
3
3
D
28.09.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
W
13.09.25
Ere
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
3
5
L
H2H at home: NEC Nijmegen
09.08.25
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
5
0
W
13.08.23
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
4
L
08.10.22
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
1
1
D
08.01.21
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
2
W
10.04.20
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
0
D
22.04.17
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
1
L
Last matches: Excelsior
07.08.26
Ere
Excelsior
Cambuur
4
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Excelsior
De Graafschap
5
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Heracles
5
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
24.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
0
0
D
21.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
10.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
5
L
22.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
1
W
01.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
26.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
2
L
04.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
2
1
W
H2H away: Excelsior
09.08.25
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
5
0
L
13.08.23
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
4
W
08.10.22
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
1
1
D
08.01.21
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
3
2
L
10.04.20
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
0
D
22.04.17
H2H
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior
0
1
W
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Excelsior
Away
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
W
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 |
NEC Nijmegen
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie