NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

08.09.2026 16:45

NEC Nijmegen

2 - 2

Excelsior

Goffertstadion

Referee: Erwin Blank, Netherlands

NEC Nijmegen

Match Timeline

Excelsior

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 70%

Odds 5.09

BTTS

Yes

Probability 71.2%

Odds 1.50

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 77.2%

Odds 1.49

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	70%	5.09	▥
BTTS	Yes	71.2%	1.50	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	77.2%	1.49	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.14	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	11.00	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	17.00	▥

Probability Distribution

NEC Nijmegen Win 26.8%

Draw 3.2%

Excelsior Win 70%

Expected Goals (xG)

NEC Nijmegen1.57

Excelsior2.53

Recent Form (Last 5)

NEC Nijmegen

WWDLW

28 GF / 25 GA

Excelsior

WLDWL

28 GF / 10 GA

Key Stats

1.87

Average Goals Scored

3.11

1.67

Average Goals Conceded

1.11

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.88

Shots on Goal

5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NEC Nijmegen 15 matches

Excelsior 9 matches

NEC Nijmegen	Statistic	Excelsior
5	Wins	8
2	Draws	0
8	Losses	1
28	Goals For	28
25	Goals Against	10
1.87	Avg Goals Scored	3.11
1.67	Avg Goals Conceded	1.11
11	BTTS Yes	6
13	Over 1.5	9
12	Over 2.5	8
8	Over 3.5	5
2	Clean Sheets	3
3	Failed To Score	0
4.88	Shots On Goal	5.5
15.25	Total Shots	12.75
4.63	Corners	5.25
54.9%	Ball Possession	45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 6 times, Excelsior won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:22 from NEC Nijmegen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)

Predicted formations: NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1 / Excelsior 3-4-3

Missing players: NEC Nijmegen 7, Excelsior 2

H2H summary: NEC Nijmegen wins 6, draws 2, Excelsior wins 6

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	1	0	22:7	15	16	W W W W W
2	AZ Alkmaar	6	5	1	0	17:6	11	16	D W W W W
3	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	20:7	13	14	W W D W D
4	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21:9	12	14	D W W L W
5	Twente	6	4	1	1	12:5	7	13	W W D W W
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13:14	-1	13	W L W W L
7	Excelsior Away	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11	D L D W W
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	2	11	W D D L L
9	GO Ahead Eagles	6	2	3	1	15:13	2	9	D D L W D
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11:9	2	9	W D L D L
11	NEC Nijmegen Home	6	2	1	3	11:12	-1	7	L D L W W
12	Telstar	6	1	2	3	5:11	-6	5	D L D L L
13	Utrecht	6	1	2	3	11:19	-8	5	W D L D L
14	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10:17	-7	5	L L D L D
15	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10:19	-9	5	D W D L L
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6:20	-14	4	L L D L W
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7:17	-10	2	D L L D L
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6:20	-14	2	L L D L D