Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Naxxar Lions
32 matches
Mosta
32 matches
| Naxxar Lions | Statistic | Mosta |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 15 | Losses | 18 |
| 41 | Goals For | 34 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.81 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Naxxar Lions hold an advantage after winning the first leg 5-0, so Mosta now have a 5-goal deficit to overturn. Naxxar Lions have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mosta having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mosta. Mosta carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 10 points while Naxxar Lions sit 6 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Naxxar Lions enter this tie with a season profile built on 20 points from 16 matches, placing them 6 in their league. With 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses plus a goal ratio of 23:26, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Vitinho (12 goals), G. Costa Goncalves (6 goals), Joao Moura (5 goals), while defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Ahead of this knockout test, Mosta arrive from a league campaign that has them 6 with 10 points after 16 matches. With 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses plus a goal ratio of 14:32, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on P. Emmanuel (12 goals), Leo Fernandes (4 goals), Giancarlo (3 goals), while defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Naxxar Lions won 5 times, Mosta won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:12 from Naxxar Lions's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.
Lineups
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Valletta FC
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Hibernians
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Birkirkara
Naxxar Lions
Tarxien Rainbows
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Sliema Wanderers
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Valletta FC
Naxxar Lions
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Tarxien Rainbows
Naxxar Lions
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Mosta
Birkirkara
Mosta
Hibernians
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
Mosta
Gzira United
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
Mosta
Birkirkara
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Hibernians
Mosta
Floriana
Mosta
Valletta FC
Mosta
Hibernians
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
Valletta FC
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Naxxar Lions
Hibernians
Naxxar Lions
Birkirkara
Naxxar Lions
Gzira United
Naxxar Lions
Sliema Wanderers
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Zabbar St. Patrick
Naxxar Lions
Tarxien Rainbows
Naxxar Lions
Hamrun Spartans
Naxxar Lions
Valletta FC
Naxxar Lions
Tarxien Rainbows
Naxxar Lions
Marsaxlokk
Naxxar Lions
Floriana
Mosta
Birkirkara
Mosta
Hibernians
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
Mosta
Gzira United
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
Mosta
Hibernians
Mosta
Floriana
Mosta
Hibernians
Mosta
Gzira United
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
Mosta
Valletta FC
Mosta
Birkirkara
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 18 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Mosta
Away
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 |
Naxxar Lions
Home
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:18 | -8 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8:21 | -13 | 5 |
L
W
W
D
D
|