BRAZIL SERIE B
03.09.2026 23:00
Estádio dos Aflitos
Referee: T. Gomes
Nautico Recife
Match Timeline
Botafogo SP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
56'
B. Borasi ↔ Kauan Maranhao
Nautico Recife
🔄
56'
Jean Carlos ↔ Junior Todinho
Nautico Recife
🔄
64'
Arthur Caike ↔ Kelvin
Botafogo SP
🔄
64'
Wesley Santos ↔ Ze Hugo
Botafogo SP
🟨
69'
Arnaldo
Nautico Recife
🔄
70'
Arnaldo ↔ Reginaldo
Nautico Recife
🔄
70'
Derek ↔ Luiz Claudio
Nautico Recife
🟨
75'
Patrick Brey
Botafogo SP
77'
Luiz Claudio
Nautico Recife
🔄
80'
Wenderson ↔ Auremir
Nautico Recife
🔄
82'
Ericson ↔ Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
🔄
82'
Rafael Gava ↔ Thiago Moraes
Botafogo SP
🔄
82'
Hygor ↔ Guilherme Queiroz
Botafogo SP
🟨
90'
Kaua Almeida da Costa
Nautico Recife

Nautico Recife vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.98
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 2.17
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.2%
1.98
BTTS Yes
50%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
2.17
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.06
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Nautico Recife Win 49.2%
Draw 18%
Botafogo SP Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nautico Recife1.17
Botafogo SP1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WWDLW
30 GF / 28 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
29 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
11
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
11
4.8
Shots on Goal
3.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 25 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 25 matches
Nautico Recife Statistic Botafogo SP
9 Wins 8
7 Draws 7
9 Losses 10
30 Goals For 29
28 Goals Against 28
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
11 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 9
4.8 Shots On Goal 3.48
16.48 Total Shots 11.84
5.92 Corners 6.04
58.3% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botafogo SP. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Nautico Recife approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 31 points from 24 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 28:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Vinícius (4 goals), Kaua Almeida da Costa (3 goals), Dodô (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Botafogo SP Analysis

With 31 points from 24 games and a place of 14, Botafogo SP still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 28:26 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Vilar (2 goals), Hygor (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (5 assists), Patrick Brey (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Nautico Recife won 1 times, Botafogo SP won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Nautico Recife's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
Predicted formations: Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1 / Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nautico Recife wins 1, draws 2, Botafogo SP wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation