Nautico Recife vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
61.5%
|
1.80 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
1.67 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.6%
|
1.23 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
6.00 |
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nautico Recife
24 matches
Athletic Club
24 matches
| Nautico Recife | Statistic | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 28 | Goals For | 25 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 3.17 |
| 16.08 | Total Shots | 11.46 |
| 5.83 | Corners | 4.42 |
| 57.8% | Ball Possession | 44.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nautico Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Athletic Club in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Athletic Club. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Nautico Recife approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 30 points from 23 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 27:26 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vinícius (4 goals), Kaua Almeida da Costa (3 goals), Dodô (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Athletic Club sit 8 with 34 points after 22 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 24:19 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), Max (2 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Max (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Nautico Recife won 2 times, Athletic Club won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Nautico Recife's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 48:25 | 23 | 50 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30:17 | 13 | 50 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 48 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:33 | 3 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:39 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 41 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Athletic Club
Away
|
28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 11 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 |
Nautico Recife
Home
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 13 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 36 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:35 | -7 | 29 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21:46 | -25 | 17 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16:56 | -40 | 10 |
L
L
L
L
L
|