🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
16.08.2026 00:30
Geodis Park
Referee: D. Fischer
Nashville SC
Match Timeline
Inter Miami
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
A. Najar · Assist: E. Saad
Nashville SC
23'
Lionel Messi
Inter Miami
🔄
33'
F. Mura ↔ M. Falcon
Inter Miami
🟨
45+6'
Sam Surridge
Nashville SC
45'
T. Segovia · Assist: L. Messi
Inter Miami
🟨
47'
Casemiro
Inter Miami
49'
H. Mukhtar · Assist: E. Saad
Nashville SC
56'
S. Surridge · Assist: C. Espinoza
Nashville SC
🟨
59'
Lionel Messi
Inter Miami
63'
H. Mukhtar · Assist: B. Schwake
Nashville SC
🔄
72'
J. Palacios ↔ J. Maher
Nashville SC
🔄
72'
C. Espinoza ↔ S. Mohammed
Nashville SC
🔄
72'
E. Saad ↔ A. Muyl
Nashville SC
🔄
75'
S. Reguilon ↔ N. Allen
Inter Miami
🔄
75'
I. Fray ↔ D. Ruiz
Inter Miami
🟨
78'
David Ruíz
Inter Miami
🔄
84'
A. Najar ↔ D. Lovitz
Nashville SC
🔄
86'
T. Segovia ↔ L. Delinois
Inter Miami
🔄
87'
R. Baker-Whiting ↔ J. Bauer
Nashville SC

Nashville SC vs Inter Miami Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nashville SC Win 40.1%
Draw 13%
Inter Miami Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nashville SC1.69
Inter Miami1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nashville SC Nashville SC
WWDLW
51 GF / 22 GA
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WLDWL
52 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
2.17
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
12
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
17
4.15
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nashville SC Nashville SC 30 matches
Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 matches
Nashville SC Statistic Inter Miami
17 Wins 13
8 Draws 8
5 Losses 3
51 Goals For 52
22 Goals Against 40
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
12 BTTS Yes 17
17 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 12
14 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 4
4.15 Shots On Goal 6
10.88 Total Shots 14.9
4.46 Corners 5.45
52.5% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nashville SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Inter Miami in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter Miami having the stronger overall control. Inter Miami look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Inter Miami.

Nashville SC Analysis

Nashville SC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 40 points after 18 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 35:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on H. Mukhtar (4 goals), Warren Madrigal (3 goals), S. Surridge (3 goals), with creative support from H. Mukhtar (4 assists), Cristian Espinoza (4 assists), A. Najar (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Inter Miami Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 38 points from 18 games, Inter Miami bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 11 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:32, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Lionel Messi (8 goals), Luis Suárez (8 goals), Germán Berterame (7 goals), with creative support from Lionel Messi (7 assists), Rodrigo De Paul (4 assists), Germán Berterame (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nashville SC won 2 times, Inter Miami won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:30 from Nashville SC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Nashville SC 4-2-3-1 / Inter Miami 4-4-2
Missing players: Nashville SC 2, Inter Miami 4
H2H summary: Nashville SC wins 2, draws 5, Inter Miami wins 8

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
8 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
9 24 8 6 10 41:39 2 30
W W W D D
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)