Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.6%
|
1.85 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.48 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
88.1%
|
1.32 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nashville SC
33 matches
FC Cincinnati
30 matches
| Nashville SC | Statistic | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 13 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 59 | Goals For | 74 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.47 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.93 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.34 | Shots On Goal | 5.72 |
| 11.21 | Total Shots | 13.2 |
| 4.97 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 52.2% | Ball Possession | 48.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nashville SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Cincinnati in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Cincinnati having the stronger overall control. Nashville SC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 46 points compared to FC Cincinnati in 5 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Cincinnati. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Nashville SC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 46 points after 20 matches. They have recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 40:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on H. Mukhtar (4 goals), Warren Madrigal (3 goals), S. Surridge (3 goals), with creative support from H. Mukhtar (4 assists), Cristian Espinoza (4 assists), A. Najar (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
FC Cincinnati approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 30 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 48:46 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Evander (10 goals), Kévin Denkey (9 goals), Tom Barlow (4 goals), with creative support from Evander (7 assists), Pavel Bucha (4 assists), Ender Echenique (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Nashville SC won 4 times, FC Cincinnati won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:20 from Nashville SC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
Home
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 32 | 57 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 46 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 10 | 43 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 39 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 8 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
FC Cincinnati
Away
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|