Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.6%
|
1.85 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.48 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
88.1%
|
1.32 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nashville SC
33 matches
FC Cincinnati
30 matches
| Nashville SC | Statistic | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 13 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 59 | Goals For | 74 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.47 |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.93 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.96 | Shots On Goal | 5.46 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 12.58 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nashville SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Cincinnati in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Cincinnati having the stronger overall control. Nashville SC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 46 points compared to FC Cincinnati in 5 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Cincinnati. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Nashville SC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 46 points after 20 matches. They have recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 40:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on H. Mukhtar (4 goals), Warren Madrigal (3 goals), S. Surridge (3 goals), with creative support from H. Mukhtar (4 assists), Cristian Espinoza (4 assists), A. Najar (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
FC Cincinnati approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 30 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 48:46 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Evander (10 goals), Kévin Denkey (9 goals), Tom Barlow (4 goals), with creative support from Evander (7 assists), Pavel Bucha (4 assists), Ender Echenique (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Nashville SC won 4 times, FC Cincinnati won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:20 from Nashville SC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.
Nashville SC
7
8
4
5
7
1
Lineups
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
DC United
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
Nashville SC
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
DC United
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
Club America
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Club America
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
New York City FC
Nashville SC
Los Angeles FC
Nashville SC
DC United
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Charlotte
Nashville SC
Club America
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Minnesota United FC
Nashville SC
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
Nashville SC
Lexington
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Colorado Rapids
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
Home
|
21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43:17 | 26 | 49 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 56:41 | 15 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 37 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40:32 | 8 | 35 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
FC Cincinnati
Away
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32:46 | -14 | 26 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 32:38 | -6 | 25 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28:36 | -8 | 25 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 34:51 | -17 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:39 | -5 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 25:38 | -13 | 21 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30:46 | -16 | 21 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
W
|