NIGERIA NPFL
--.--.---- --:--
Lafia Township Stadium
Nasarawa United
Match Timeline
Warri Wolves
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
S. V. Chimezie
Nasarawa United
61'
N. Oluka-Efor
Nasarawa United
73'
H. Alakija
Nasarawa United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Nasarawa United Win 84.3%
Draw 4.1%
Warri Wolves Win 11.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nasarawa United0.97
Warri Wolves0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nasarawa United Nasarawa United
WWDLW
31 GF / 28 GA
Warri Wolves Warri Wolves
WLDWL
33 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
0.97
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
12
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 34 matches
Warri Wolves Warri Wolves 34 matches
Nasarawa United Statistic Warri Wolves
14 Wins 11
8 Draws 10
12 Losses 13
31 Goals For 33
28 Goals Against 36
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
12 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 11
1 Over 3.5 4
11 Clean Sheets 15
14 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Nasarawa United's more proactive style and Warri Wolves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Nasarawa United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 51 points compared to Warri Wolves in 14 on 43, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Warri Wolves having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Warri Wolves. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Nasarawa United Analysis

Nasarawa United sit 5 with 51 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats with a 31:27 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Yusuf (7 goals), J. Istifanus (4 goals), J. John (3 goals), with creative support from A. Yusuf (1 assists), J. John (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Warri Wolves Analysis

With 43 points from 34 games and a place of 14, Warri Wolves still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 33:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Igbunu (10 goals), O. Egbo (4 goals), A. Adebambo (2 goals), with creative support from E. Bakare (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Nasarawa United won 4 times, Warri Wolves won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:6 from Nasarawa United's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
H2H summary: Nasarawa United wins 4, draws 0, Warri Wolves wins 3
Last matches: Nasarawa United
24.05.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Barau FC
0
3
L
10.05.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Plateau United
1
0
W
03.05.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Shooting Stars
2
3
L
14.04.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
05.04.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kun Khalifat FC
0
1
L
28.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kwara United
0
1
L
23.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Rivers United
4
1
W
15.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Remo Stars
1
2
L
08.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Ikorodu City
1
0
W
01.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Enugu Rangers
0
2
L
22.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Bendel Insurance
1
0
W
15.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Katsina United
0
1
L
08.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
01.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Wikki Tourist
1
1
D
28.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Enyimba
1
1
D
25.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Abia Warriors
2
1
W
18.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Niger Tornadoes
2
1
W
14.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
28.12.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kano Pillars
0
3
L
23.12.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Barau FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Warri Wolves
24.05.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
2
1
W
10.05.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
03.05.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Plateau United
1
0
W
12.04.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kun Khalifat FC
0
3
L
05.04.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Rivers United
2
0
W
29.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Ikorodu City
3
4
L
22.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Bendel Insurance
0
0
D
15.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Bayelsa United
1
2
L
08.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Enyimba
2
1
W
01.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Niger Tornadoes
0
0
D
21.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Barau FC
0
0
D
15.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Shooting Stars
2
4
L
08.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
El Kanemi Warriors
0
0
D
02.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kwara United
1
2
L
29.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Remo Stars
1
0
W
25.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Enugu Rangers
2
4
L
19.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Katsina United
2
0
W
14.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Wikki Tourist
1
0
W
28.12.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Wikki Tourist
2
2
D
21.12.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
H2H: Nasarawa United vs Warri Wolves
19.04.26
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
3
0
W
30.11.25
H2H
Warri Wolves
Nasarawa United
1
0
L
09.06.21
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
3
1
W
24.01.21
H2H
Warri Wolves
Nasarawa United
1
2
W
17.05.20
H2H
Warri Wolves
Nasarawa United
0
0
D
20.01.20
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
1
2
L
04.09.16
H2H
Warri Wolves
Nasarawa United
1
0
L
01.05.16
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
2
0
W
Last matches: Nasarawa United
10.05.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Plateau United
1
0
W
05.04.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kun Khalifat FC
0
1
L
23.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Rivers United
4
1
W
08.03.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Ikorodu City
1
0
W
22.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Bendel Insurance
1
0
W
08.02.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
28.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Enyimba
1
1
D
18.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Niger Tornadoes
2
1
W
14.01.26
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
23.12.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Barau FC
0
0
D
08.12.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Shooting Stars
1
0
W
23.11.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
El Kanemi Warriors
3
0
W
09.11.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Kwara United
1
1
D
06.11.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Remo Stars
2
1
W
12.10.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Enugu Rangers
2
1
W
28.09.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Katsina United
2
0
W
14.09.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Wikki Tourist
1
0
W
31.08.25
NPF
Nasarawa United
Abia Warriors
1
0
W
H2H at home: Nasarawa United
19.04.26
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
3
0
W
09.06.21
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
3
1
W
20.01.20
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
1
2
L
01.05.16
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
2
0
W
Last matches: Warri Wolves
10.05.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
12.04.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kun Khalifat FC
0
3
L
29.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Ikorodu City
3
4
L
15.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Bayelsa United
1
2
L
01.03.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Niger Tornadoes
0
0
D
15.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Shooting Stars
2
4
L
02.02.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Kwara United
1
2
L
25.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Enugu Rangers
2
4
L
14.01.26
NPF
Warri Wolves
Wikki Tourist
1
0
W
21.12.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
07.12.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Plateau United
0
1
L
16.11.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Rivers United
1
2
L
01.11.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Bendel Insurance
1
1
D
19.10.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Enyimba
2
1
W
05.10.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Barau FC
1
0
W
21.09.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
El Kanemi Warriors
0
1
L
07.09.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Remo Stars
0
1
L
24.08.25
NPF
Warri Wolves
Katsina United
1
0
W
H2H away: Warri Wolves
19.04.26
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
3
0
L
09.06.21
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
3
1
L
20.01.20
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
1
2
W
01.05.16
H2H
Nasarawa United
Warri Wolves
2
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 19 11 8 47:27 20 68
W W W W D
2 38 19 10 9 44:31 13 67
W W W L W
3 38 18 6 14 41:40 1 60
L W W W D
4 38 16 10 12 43:39 4 58
L L W L W
5 38 16 8 14 37:34 3 56
L W L W L
6 38 16 7 15 31:34 -3 55
L L L W L
7 37 13 14 10 43:38 5 53
D L W W W
8 38 13 13 12 34:30 4 52
W L W L W
9 37 14 10 13 36:38 -2 52
L W L W L
10 38 15 6 17 37:39 -2 51
L W L W L
11 38 15 5 18 39:40 -1 50
W L L D L
12 38 13 11 14 35:36 -1 50
L W D W D
13 38 13 10 15 44:42 2 49
W L W L W
14 38 13 10 15 42:43 -1 49
W W W D W
15 38 13 10 15 36:41 -5 49
W L W L L
16 38 13 9 16 37:36 1 48
W D D L D
17 38 14 5 19 42:47 -5 47
D W L W L
18 38 13 8 17 30:46 -16 47
L D L L W
19 38 11 10 17 37:42 -5 43
W L L L L
20 38 9 13 16 36:48 -12 40
L L L L W
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation