SERBIA SUPER LIGA
16.05.2026 18:00
Referee: S. Jeknic
Napredak
Match Timeline
Radnicki 1923
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Nikola Bogdanovski
Napredak
🟨
17'
Nikola Marjanovic
Radnicki 1923
🟨
24'
Uroš Ignjatović
Napredak
🔄
65'
D. Bojat ↔ N. Skrobonja
Napredak
🔄
65'
L. Ben Hassine ↔ A. Balde
Radnicki 1923
🔄
65'
M. Ristic ↔ V. Tomic
Radnicki 1923
🔄
66'
N. Stevanovic ↔ A. Novakovic
Napredak
🟨
68'
Bojan Kovačević
Radnicki 1923
VAR
74'
Nikola Skrobonja
Napredak
🟨
79'
Slobodan Simović
Radnicki 1923
🔄
82'
N. Bogdanovski ↔ N. Vukajlovic
Napredak
🟨
85'
Miloš Vulić
Napredak
🔄
86'
N. Milicic ↔ M. Cosic
Radnicki 1923
🔄
87'
N. Bastajic ↔ L. Laban
Napredak
🔄
87'
V. Miletic ↔ L. Drobnjak
Napredak
🟨
90+6'
Wajdi Sahli
Radnicki 1923

Napredak vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
83.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Napredak Win 16.7%
Draw 0%
Radnicki 1923 Win 83.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Napredak0.96
Radnicki 19231.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Napredak Napredak
WWDLW
30 GF / 75 GA
Radnicki 1923 Radnicki 1923
WLDWL
39 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.05
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
19
BTTS Yes
17
22
Over 2.5
13
2.57
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Napredak Napredak 35 matches
Radnicki 1923 Radnicki 1923 37 matches
Napredak Statistic Radnicki 1923
3 Wins 9
8 Draws 17
24 Losses 11
30 Goals For 39
75 Goals Against 41
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
19 BTTS Yes 17
27 Over 1.5 23
22 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 14
15 Failed To Score 15
2.57 Shots On Goal 4.14
9.46 Total Shots 12.86
3.69 Corners 4.16
45.8% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Radnicki 1923. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Napredak expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Radnicki 1923 in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Radnicki 1923 having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Napredak have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Radnicki 1923 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 36 points while Napredak sit 16 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Napredak Analysis

With 14 points from 30 games and a place of 16, Napredak still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats with a 26:65 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Andrija Majdevac (9 goals), Miloš Vulić (4 goals), N. Bogdanovski (4 goals), with creative support from M. Toseski (4 assists), Aleksandar Lutovac (3 assists), Nebojša Bastajić (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Radnicki 1923 Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Radnicki 1923 have collected 36 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 32:37 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ester Sokler (15 goals), Milutin Vidosavljević (8 goals), O. Sahli (5 goals), with creative support from K. Bevis (6 assists), O. Sahli (4 assists), A. Balde (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Napredak won 4 times, Radnicki 1923 won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:16 from Napredak's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Napredak 4-2-3-1 / Radnicki 1923 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Napredak wins 4, draws 2, Radnicki 1923 wins 6

Standings

Superliga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 13 11 13 41:51 -10 50
D W D D W
2 37 14 7 16 46:49 -3 49
W W W W L
3 37 11 13 13 33:52 -19 46
W W L W W
4 37 11 12 14 45:45 0 45
D L W D L
5 37 9 18 10 41:42 -1 45
D D D D W
6 37 10 12 15 41:54 -13 42
D L L D W
7 37 4 9 24 37:72 -35 21
L L L L L
8 37 3 9 25 30:76 -46 18
L D W L L
Relegation