Login Register
ITALY › SERIE A
24.10.2026 16:00
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Napoli Win 40.2%
Draw 12.5%
AS Roma Win 47.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Napoli1.71
AS Roma1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Napoli Napoli
WWDLW
23 GF / 17 GA
AS Roma AS Roma
WLDWL
28 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
2.15
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
8
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
4.38
Shots on Goal
5.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Napoli Napoli 13 matches
AS Roma AS Roma 13 matches
Napoli Statistic AS Roma
6 Wins 5
2 Draws 5
5 Losses 3
23 Goals For 28
17 Goals Against 21
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 2.15
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
8 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
4.38 Shots On Goal 5.88
13 Total Shots 16.75
4.63 Corners 4.88
48.9% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward AS Roma. AS Roma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 14 points while Napoli sit 9 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Napoli Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Napoli have collected 10 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Højlund (2 goals), K. De Bruyne (2 goals), M. Politano (1 goals), with creative support from M. Politano (1 assists), Amir Rrahmani (1 assists), G. Di Lorenzo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

AS Roma Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 14 points from 6 games, AS Roma bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 14:3 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on D. Malen (6 goals), M. Soulé (2 goals), M. Koné (2 goals), with creative support from P. Dybala (4 assists), G. Mancini (2 assists), M. Soulé (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Napoli won 8 times, AS Roma won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from Napoli's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Napoli 3-4-2-1 / AS Roma 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Napoli 1, AS Roma 1
H2H summary: Napoli wins 8, draws 5, AS Roma wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:8 10 16
W D W W W
2 6 5 1 0 11:4 7 16
W W D W W
3 6 4 2 0 14:3 11 14
D D W W W
4 7 4 1 2 13:9 4 13
W L W D W
5 6 4 1 1 6:3 3 13
D W W W L
6 6 3 3 0 11:5 6 12
D W D D W
7 6 3 2 1 9:5 4 11
D W L D W
8 6 3 2 1 9:6 3 11
D L W W W
9 6 3 1 2 10:6 4 10
W D W L L
10 6 3 0 3 8:8 0 9
W L L L W
11 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L D L W D
12 6 2 1 3 7:9 -2 7
W D L W L
13 6 2 0 4 6:12 -6 6
L L W L L
14 6 1 2 3 5:7 -2 5
W D L D L
15 6 1 1 4 9:13 -4 4
L L L L W
16 6 1 1 4 9:15 -6 4
L W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
W L D L L
18 6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L W L D L
19 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D W L L
20 6 0 0 6 5:16 -11 0
L L L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation