ITALY SUPER CUP
18.12.2025 19:00
King Saud University Stadium
Referee: Luca Zufferli, Italy
Napoli
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Adrien Rabiot
AC Milan
39'
David Neres · Assist: R. Hojlund
Napoli
63'
R. Hojlund · Assist: L. Spinazzola
Napoli
🔄
69'
K. De Winter ↔ Z. Athekame
AC Milan
🔄
69'
A. Saelemaekers ↔ Y. Fofana
AC Milan
🔄
75'
A. Jashari ↔ L. Modric
AC Milan
🔄
77'
E. Elmas ↔ N. Lang
Napoli
🔄
78'
M. Politano ↔ P. Mazzocchi
Napoli
🔄
81'
L. Spinazzola ↔ M. Gutierrez
Napoli
🟨
81'
Leonardo Spinazzola
Napoli
🔄
82'
R. Hojlund ↔ L. Lucca
Napoli
🟨
83'
Fikayo Tomori
AC Milan
🟨
83'
Scott McTominay
Napoli
🟨
85'
Zachary Athekame
AC Milan
🔄
88'
David Neres ↔ A. Vergara
Napoli

Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Napoli Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Napoli1.1
AC Milan1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Napoli Napoli
WWDLW
29 GF / 25 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
29 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
10
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
9
4.32
Shots on Goal
4.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Napoli Napoli 22 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 18 matches
Napoli Statistic AC Milan
12 Wins 11
3 Draws 5
7 Losses 2
29 Goals For 29
25 Goals Against 14
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
10 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 2
4.32 Shots On Goal 4.89
12.18 Total Shots 14.44
5.59 Corners 4.78
54.9% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Napoli won 7 times, AC Milan won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Napoli's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Napoli 3-4-2-1 / AC Milan 3-5-2
H2H summary: Napoli wins 7, draws 2, AC Milan wins 6