FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de la Beaujoire
Referee: G. Paradis
Nantes
Match Timeline
Stade Brestois 29
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
Mostafa Mohamed · Assist: F. Coquelin
Nantes
🟨
41'
Daouda Guindo
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
45+1'
Romain Del Castillo
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
46'
F. Coquelin ↔ L. Leroux
Nantes
🟨
56'
Louis Leroux
Nantes
VAR
63'
Dehmaine Tabibou
Nantes
🟥
65'
Dehmaine Tabibou
Nantes
🔄
67'
D. Guindo ↔ K. Lala
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
67'
J. Dina Ebimbe ↔ H. Makalou
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
77'
Mostafa Mohamed ↔ M. Abline
Nantes
🔄
78'
H. Magnetti ↔ P. Mboup
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
90+4'
Anthony Lopes
Nantes
🔄
90+1'
I. Ganago ↔ M. Acapandie
Nantes
90'
B. Chardonnet · Assist: R. Del Castillo
Stade Brestois 29

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
52.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Nantes Win 18.8%
Draw 24.1%
Stade Brestois 29 Win 57.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nantes1.21
Stade Brestois 291.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nantes Nantes
WWDLW
30 GF / 49 GA
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
WLDWL
38 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
15
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
14
3.2
Shots on Goal
3.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nantes Nantes 30 matches
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 29 matches
Nantes Statistic Stade Brestois 29
5 Wins 10
8 Draws 7
17 Losses 12
30 Goals For 38
49 Goals Against 44
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
15 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 24
13 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 9
12 Failed To Score 9
3.2 Shots On Goal 3.59
10.4 Total Shots 11.38
2.93 Corners 4.14
43.5% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Nantes appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Stade Brestois 29. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nantes expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Stade Brestois 29 in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Stade Brestois 29 having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Stade Brestois 29 carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 36 points while Nantes sit 17 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Stade Brestois 29.

Nantes Analysis

Nantes sit 17 with 19 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 24:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Abline (5 goals), Fabien Centonze (3 goals), Mostafa Mohamed (3 goals), with creative support from M. Abline (3 assists), Chidozie Awaziem (2 assists), B. Guirassy (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with F. Centonze, T. Tati, K. Amian unavailable.

Stade Brestois 29 Analysis

With 36 points from 28 games and a place of 11, Stade Brestois 29 still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 37:43, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through R. Del Castillo (8 goals), Ludovic Ajorque (7 goals), Kamory Doumbia (5 goals), with creative support from Ludovic Ajorque (8 assists), Kamory Doumbia (3 assists), Brendan Chardonnet (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. Balde, K. Doumbia, J. M. Diaz unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nantes won 6 times, Stade Brestois 29 won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Nantes's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81.2%)
Predicted formations: Nantes 4-1-4-1 / Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Nantes 4, Stade Brestois 29 4
H2H summary: Nantes wins 6, draws 4, Stade Brestois 29 wins 5
Stats
Nantes Nantes
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
0
11 Corner Kicks 0
13 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 4
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 2
9 Blocked Shots 0
12 Shots insidebox 3
5 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
301 Total passes 415
235 Passes accurate 341
0.92 expected_goals 0.42
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nantes
Formation
Stade Brestois 29
A. Lopes
A. Lopes
F. Guilbert
F. Guilbert
Ali Youssef
Ali Youssef
N. Cozza
N. Cozza
D. Machado
D. Machado
F. Coquelin
🎯
F. Coquelin
D. Tabibou
D. Tabibou
I. Sissoko
I. Sissoko
J. Lepenant
J. Lepenant
I. Ganago
I. Ganago
Mostafa Mohamed
Mostafa Mohamed
G. Coudert
G. Coudert
L. Zogbe
L. Zogbe
B. Chardonnet
B. Chardonnet
S. Coulibaly
S. Coulibaly
D. Guindo
D. Guindo
J. Chotard
J. Chotard
H. Magnetti
H. Magnetti
R. Del Castillo
🎯
R. Del Castillo
J. Dina Ebimbe
J. Dina Ebimbe
R. Labeau Lascary
R. Labeau Lascary
L. Ajorque
L. Ajorque
Nantes 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
A. Lopes
🟨 90+4'
G
24
F. Guilbert
D
2
Ali Youssef
D
3
N. Cozza
D
27
D. Machado
D
13
F. Coquelin
🎯 9' ↓ 46'
M
17
D. Tabibou
🟥 65'
M
28
I. Sissoko
M
8
J. Lepenant
M
37
I. Ganago
↓ 90+1'
M
31
Mostafa Mohamed
⚽ 9' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
30
P. Carlgren
G
19
Y. El Arabi
F
10
M. Abline
↑ 77'
F
72
S. Doucoure
D
26
U. Radakovic
D
6
C. Awaziem
D
22
M. Acapandie
↑ 90+1'
D
66
L. Leroux
↑ 46' 🟨 56'
M
11
B. Guirassy
F
Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
G. Coudert
G
12
L. Zogbe
D
5
B. Chardonnet
⚽ 90'
D
44
S. Coulibaly
D
27
D. Guindo
↓ 67' 🟨 41'
D
13
J. Chotard
M
8
H. Magnetti
↓ 78'
M
10
R. Del Castillo
🎯 90' 🟨 45+1'
M
7
J. Dina Ebimbe
↓ 67'
M
14
R. Labeau Lascary
M
19
L. Ajorque
F
Substitutes
1
R. Majecki
G
77
K. Lala
↑ 67'
D
33
H. Makalou
↑ 67'
M
24
L. Tousart
M
99
P. Mboup
↑ 78'
F
21
I. Y. Kante
F
71
R. Le Guen
D
29
S. Diop
F
Last matches: Nantes
08.08.26
Lig
Nantes
RED Star FC 93
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Al Wakrah
5
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Le Mans
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nantes
La Roche VF
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Lorient
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Fleury 91
5
0
W
08.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Lens
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Marseille
3
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Rennes
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Auxerre
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Nantes
Metz
0
0
D
22.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Strasbourg
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Angers
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Lille
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Le Havre
2
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Monaco
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Lyon
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lig
Nantes
Lorient
1
2
L
25.01.26
Lig
Nantes
Nice
1
4
L
Last matches: Stade Brestois 29
08.08.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Venezia
2
2
D
05.08.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Briochin
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Guingamp
3
3
D
22.07.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Al Wakrah
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Concarneau
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
1
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
0
4
L
24.04.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
3
3
D
04.04.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
3
4
L
21.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
0
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
0
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
2
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
1
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
2
2
D
25.01.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
0
2
L
H2H: Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29
19.04.26
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
0
0
D
07.02.25
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
15.01.25
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
2
1
L
15.12.24
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
4
1
L
04.05.24
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
0
0
D
17.12.23
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
03.05.23
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
2
0
L
16.10.22
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
4
1
W
10.04.22
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
1
1
D
28.01.22
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
22.09.21
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
3
1
W
24.07.21
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
3
1
W
24.07.21
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
1
3
W
02.05.21
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
1
4
W
Last matches: Nantes
08.08.26
Lig
Nantes
RED Star FC 93
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nantes
Al Wakrah
5
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Nantes
La Roche VF
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Nantes
Marseille
3
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Strasbourg
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lig
Nantes
Angers
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Le Havre
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Nantes
Lyon
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Nantes
Nice
1
4
L
18.01.26
Lig
Nantes
Paris FC
1
2
L
11.01.26
Cou
Nantes
Nice
1
1
D
06.12.25
Lig
Nantes
Lens
1
2
L
23.11.25
Lig
Nantes
Lorient
1
1
D
02.11.25
Lig
Nantes
Metz
0
2
L
29.10.25
Lig
Nantes
Monaco
3
5
L
19.10.25
Lig
Nantes
Lille
0
2
L
20.09.25
Lig
Nantes
Rennes
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Nantes
Auxerre
1
0
W
17.08.25
Lig
Nantes
Paris Saint Germain
0
1
L
17.05.25
Lig
Nantes
Montpellier
3
0
W
H2H at home: Nantes
19.04.26
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
1
1
D
07.02.25
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
17.12.23
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
16.10.22
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
4
1
W
28.01.22
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
22.09.21
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
3
1
W
24.07.21
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
3
1
W
Last matches: Stade Brestois 29
05.08.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Briochin
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
0
4
L
21.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
0
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
0
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
2
2
D
18.01.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
1
2
L
19.12.25
Cou
Stade Brestois 29
Avranches
1
1
D
13.12.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
1
3
L
30.11.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
0
3
L
29.10.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
0
1
L
19.10.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
3
3
D
28.09.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
2
0
W
29.08.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
3
L
24.08.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
0
2
L
17.05.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
0
6
L
27.04.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
1
4
L
H2H away: Stade Brestois 29
19.04.26
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
1
1
D
07.02.25
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
W
17.12.23
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
W
16.10.22
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
4
1
L
28.01.22
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
L
22.09.21
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
3
1
L
24.07.21
H2H
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
3
1
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Nantes 4 missing
-
F. Centonze
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
T. Tati
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
K. Amian
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
R. Cabella
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Stade Brestois 29 4 missing
-
M. Balde
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
K. Doumbia
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. M. Diaz
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
B. Locko
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT