KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Naivas Win 100%
Draw 0%
Darajani Gogo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Naivas1.21
Darajani Gogo0.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Naivas Naivas
WWDLW
37 GF / 27 GA
Darajani Gogo Darajani Gogo
WLDWL
19 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
0.59
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
12
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Naivas Naivas 32 matches
Darajani Gogo Darajani Gogo 32 matches
Naivas Statistic Darajani Gogo
13 Wins 7
9 Draws 7
10 Losses 18
37 Goals For 19
27 Goals Against 41
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 0.59
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
12 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Naivas's more proactive style and Darajani Gogo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Darajani Gogo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Darajani Gogo. Darajani Gogo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Naivas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 48 points compared to Darajani Gogo in 17 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Naivas Analysis

So far, Naivas have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 48 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, while the 37:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Darajani Gogo Analysis

Darajani Gogo sit 17 with 28 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats with a 19:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Naivas won 1 times, Darajani Gogo won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Naivas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Naivas wins 1, draws 5, Darajani Gogo wins 2
Last matches: Naivas
13.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
1
1
D
07.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
01.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
28.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Mwatate United
2
0
W
24.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
01.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Talanta
4
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
Naivas
3K
1
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Migori Youth
0
1
L
03.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
28.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
3
3
D
21.03.26
Sup
Naivas
MCF
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
3
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
Naivas
MOFA
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Soy United
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Equity Bank
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
24.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
Last matches: Darajani Gogo
13.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
28.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
0
4
L
03.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
25.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MCF
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
0
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
0
4
L
29.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Soy United
0
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
3K
1
1
D
14.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
01.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Migori Youth
1
2
L
20.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
2
2
D
31.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
2
4
L
H2H: Naivas vs Darajani Gogo
16.05.26
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
3
0
W
03.12.25
H2H
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
1
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
2
2
D
11.12.24
H2H
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
3
1
L
17.02.24
H2H
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
1
1
D
04.11.23
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
27.05.23
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
04.02.23
H2H
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
0
0
D
Last matches: Naivas
13.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
2
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Naivas
3K
1
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
28.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
3
3
D
14.03.26
Sup
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
3
1
W
28.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Luanda Villa
3
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Naivas
Equity Bank
1
1
D
17.01.26
Sup
Naivas
Migori Youth
2
4
L
20.12.25
Sup
Naivas
Talanta
1
0
W
17.12.25
Sup
Naivas
Gucha Stars
0
1
L
07.12.25
Sup
Naivas
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
22.11.25
Sup
Naivas
MOFA
0
0
D
08.11.25
Sup
Naivas
Soy United
2
1
W
03.11.25
Sup
Naivas
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
25.10.25
Sup
Naivas
Mwatate United
3
1
W
04.10.25
Sup
Naivas
MCF
1
0
W
H2H at home: Naivas
16.05.26
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
3
0
W
10.05.25
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
2
2
D
04.11.23
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
27.05.23
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
Last matches: Darajani Gogo
13.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nairobi City Stars
3
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Gucha Stars
1
2
L
03.05.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
19.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
0
2
L
05.04.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Fortune Sacco
0
4
L
29.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Soy United
0
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Talanta
1
1
D
01.03.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Migori Youth
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
2
2
D
18.01.26
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
21.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MCF
1
0
W
17.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Equity Bank
0
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
23.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
10.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
03.11.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
25.10.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
MOFA
0
0
D
05.10.25
Sup
Darajani Gogo
3K
0
1
L
H2H away: Darajani Gogo
16.05.26
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
3
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
2
2
D
04.11.23
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
27.05.23
H2H
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation