KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 32.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 44.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
32.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
44.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nairobi City Stars Win 72.6%
Draw 16.7%
Kabati Youth FC Win 10.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nairobi City Stars1.03
Kabati Youth FC0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
WWDLW
27 GF / 34 GA
Kabati Youth FC Kabati Youth FC
WLDWL
27 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
13
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 34 matches
Kabati Youth FC Kabati Youth FC 35 matches
Nairobi City Stars Statistic Kabati Youth FC
8 Wins 8
12 Draws 8
14 Losses 19
27 Goals For 27
34 Goals Against 49
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
13 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 23
7 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 9
14 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kabati Youth FC having the stronger overall control. Nairobi City Stars have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kabati Youth FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Nairobi City Stars Analysis

Nairobi City Stars sit 12 with 39 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 30:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kabati Youth FC Analysis

With 32 points from 35 games and a place of 17, Kabati Youth FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 27:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Nairobi City Stars won 1 times, Kabati Youth FC won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Nairobi City Stars's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.3%)
H2H summary: Nairobi City Stars wins 1, draws 0, Kabati Youth FC wins 1
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
27.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
09.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
03.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
03.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
0
3
L
28.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
1
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
2
W
15.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
31.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
10.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
2
D
Last matches: Kabati Youth FC
28.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Luanda Villa
5
0
W
24.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Soy United
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Talanta
0
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
03.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
3K
0
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Migori Youth
1
2
L
11.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Darajani Gogo
0
2
L
06.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
1
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Equity Bank
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Fortune Sacco
0
9
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
2
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Migori Youth
1
1
D
H2H: Nairobi City Stars vs Kabati Youth FC
01.06.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
12.10.25
H2H
Kabati Youth FC
Nairobi City Stars
0
1
W
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
23.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
09.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
0
3
L
28.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
21.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
2
W
31.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
18.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
21.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
1
D
12.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
2
0
W
02.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
29.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
15.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
2
L
04.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
0
1
L
26.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
2
3
L
05.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
H2H at home: Nairobi City Stars
01.06.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
Last matches: Kabati Youth FC
24.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Soy United
1
2
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
3K
0
3
L
11.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Darajani Gogo
0
2
L
06.04.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
MCF
1
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Migori Youth
1
1
D
12.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Talanta
0
2
L
22.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
09.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
0
1
L
03.11.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Naivas
1
1
D
26.10.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Luanda Villa
1
2
L
04.10.25
Sup
Kabati Youth FC
Equity Bank
1
3
L
H2H away: Kabati Youth FC
01.06.26
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 5 7 54:27 27 77
W W W L W
2 36 22 7 7 58:25 33 73
W D D W W
3 36 23 3 10 49:31 18 72
L D W W L
4 36 20 11 5 53:26 27 71
W W D D W
5 36 16 14 6 50:29 21 62
D D L W L
6 36 17 9 10 45:27 18 60
W W W W D
7 36 16 9 11 57:41 16 57
L L L W L
8 36 15 9 12 46:37 9 54
L W W W W
9 36 15 8 13 31:30 1 53
D D L L D
10 36 13 9 14 30:27 3 48
L D W L D
11 36 11 14 11 36:35 1 47
W L L L D
12 36 12 6 18 29:49 -20 42
W L L W D
13 36 11 8 17 32:38 -6 41
W L W L D
14 36 9 12 15 31:36 -5 39
L D D L L
15 36 9 9 18 21:45 -24 36
L D W D D
16 36 9 8 19 29:50 -21 35
W W L L D
17 36 8 8 20 22:47 -25 32
L D W L L
18 36 8 10 18 22:38 -16 31
W L D W L
19 36 9 8 19 28:53 -25 29
L W L W W
20 36 6 7 23 27:59 -32 25
L L L L D