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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Nacional
FT
3 - 1
Tondela
Estádio da Madeira
Referee: Ricardo Baixinho, Portugal
Nacional
Match Timeline
Tondela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Christian Marques
Tondela
VAR
21'
Deivison Souza Brito
Nacional
🟥
22'
Deivison Souza Brito
Nacional
🔄
24'
M. Baeza ↔ J. Aurelio
Nacional
VAR
33'
Christian Marques
Tondela
🟨
35'
Witi
Nacional
🔄
46'
C. Marques ↔ A. Ceitil
Tondela
⚽
49'
E. Maviram · Assist: Pedro Maranhao
Tondela
🟨
54'
Léo Santos
Nacional
🟨
54'
Jordan Siebatcheu
Tondela
🟨
60'
Emmanuel Maviram
Tondela
🔄
61'
Matheus Dias ↔ C. Labidi
Nacional
🔄
61'
Witi ↔ Pablo Ruan
Nacional
🟨
62'
Juan Rodríguez
Tondela
🟨
66'
Hugo Félix
Tondela
⚽
68'
Ze Vitor
Nacional
🔄
71'
E. Maviram ↔ H. Tavares
Tondela
🔄
71'
J. Rodriguez ↔ A. Rodrigues
Tondela
🔄
79'
I. Cavaleiro ↔ Yarlen
Tondela
🔄
82'
H. Felix ↔ J. Hodge
Tondela
🟨
89'
Afonso Rodrigues
Tondela
🟨
90+11'
André Sousa
Nacional
🟨
90+11'
Paulinho Bóia
Nacional
🟨
90'
João Aurélio
Nacional
🟥
90+13'
Brayan Medina
Tondela
VAR
90+5'
Tiago Manso
Tondela
🔄
90+2'
Liziero ↔ A. Sousa
Nacional
⚽
90'
Paulinho Boia · Assist: A. Sousa
Nacional
⚽
90'
J. Ramirez
Nacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Tondela Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.23
Tondela0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Nacional
WWDLW
12 GF / 18 GA
Tondela Tondela
WLDWL
7 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
0.54
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
7
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
7
3.62
Shots on Goal
3.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional Nacional 13 matches
Tondela Tondela 13 matches
Nacional Statistic Tondela
3 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 8
12 Goals For 7
18 Goals Against 22
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 0.54
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
7 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 9
3.62 Shots On Goal 3.77
11.23 Total Shots 11.54
4.38 Corners 3.54
42.5% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 7 times, Tondela won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Nacional's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Nacional 4-3-3 / Tondela 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nacional wins 7, draws 3, Tondela wins 5
Stats
Nacional Nacional
Tondela Tondela
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
8
3 Corner Kicks 10
11 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 3
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 8
1 Blocked Shots 8
6 Shots insidebox 14
2 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
297 Total passes 357
212 Passes accurate 283
2.35 expected_goals 3.28
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 6 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Nacional
Formation
Tondela
Kaique Pereira
Kaique Pereira
Deivison
Deivison
Leo Santos
Leo Santos
Ze Vitor
⚽
Ze Vitor
L. Vallier
L. Vallier
M. Baeza
↓
M. Baeza
Matheus Dias
↓
Matheus Dias
Liziero
↓
Liziero
Witi
↓
Witi
J. Ramirez
⚽
J. Ramirez
Paulinho Boia
⚽
Paulinho Boia
Bernardo
Bernardo
T. Manso
T. Manso
C. Marques
↓
C. Marques
B. Medina
B. Medina
E. Maviram
⚽ ↓
E. Maviram
J. Rodriguez
↓
J. Rodriguez
S. Sithole
S. Sithole
Pedro Maranhao
🎯
Pedro Maranhao
H. Felix
↓
H. Felix
I. Cavaleiro
↓
I. Cavaleiro
J. Siebatcheu
J. Siebatcheu
Nacional 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Kaique Pereira
G
88
Deivison
🟥 22'
D
34
Leo Santos
🟨 54'
D
38
Ze Vitor
⚽ 68'
D
24
L. Vallier
D
8
M. Baeza
↓ 24'
M
6
Matheus Dias
↓ 61'
M
28
Liziero
↓ 90+2'
M
7
Witi
↓ 61' 🟨 35'
F
9
J. Ramirez
⚽ 90'
F
11
Paulinho Boia
⚽ 90' 🟨 90+11'
F
Substitutes
37
Lucas Franca
G
2
J. Aurelio
↑ 24' 🟨 90'
D
10
Daniel Junior
M
15
C. Labidi
↑ 61'
M
17
M. Nourani
F
18
A. Sousa
🎯 90' ↑ 90+2' 🟨 90+11'
M
19
L. Joao
F
33
C. Goncalves
D
99
Pablo Ruan
↑ 61'
F
Tondela 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
Bernardo
G
48
T. Manso
D
4
C. Marques
↓ 46' 🟨 20'
D
20
B. Medina
🟥 90+13'
D
60
E. Maviram
⚽ 49' ↓ 71' 🟨 60'
D
32
J. Rodriguez
↓ 71' 🟨 62'
M
15
S. Sithole
M
7
Pedro Maranhao
🎯 49'
M
79
H. Felix
↓ 82' 🟨 66'
M
17
I. Cavaleiro
↓ 79'
M
29
J. Siebatcheu
🟨 54'
F
Substitutes
1
G. Souza
G
5
J. Afonso
D
6
A. Ceitil
↑ 46'
M
8
H. Tavares
↑ 71'
M
10
J. Hodge
↑ 82'
M
11
Y. Rodriguez
F
19
A. Rodrigues
↑ 71' 🟨 89'
F
67
Yarlen
↑ 79'
F
97
Cicero
M
Last matches: Nacional
16.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
2
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
Last matches: Tondela
01.08.26
Fri
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
3
L
29.07.26
Fri
Tondela
São João Ver
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Beira-Mar
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Famalicao
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Academica
2
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Nacional
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Varzim
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Arouca
1
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Moreirense
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Casa Pia
1
0
W
29.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Nacional
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Tondela
FC Porto
0
2
L
13.04.26
Pri
Tondela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Vitória SC
0
5
L
21.03.26
Pri
Tondela
AVS
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Tondela
Rio Ave
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
Tondela
Santa Clara
2
2
D
20.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estrela
2
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Alverca
1
1
D
H2H: Nacional vs Tondela
19.07.26
H2H
Tondela
Nacional
1
1
D
25.04.26
H2H
Tondela
Nacional
0
2
W
15.12.25
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
W
24.07.25
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
1
2
L
12.05.24
H2H
Tondela
Nacional
2
3
W
06.01.24
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
29.01.23
H2H
Tondela
Nacional
1
0
L
09.11.22
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
1
0
W
06.08.22
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
0
1
L
22.04.21
H2H
Tondela
Nacional
2
1
L
27.12.20
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
02.03.19
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
3
2
W
05.10.18
H2H
Tondela
Nacional
1
1
D
22.04.17
H2H
Tondela
Nacional
2
0
L
11.12.16
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
3
2
W
Last matches: Nacional
16.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
11.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
29.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
W
20.09.25
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
4
L
09.08.25
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
H2H at home: Nacional
15.12.25
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
W
24.07.25
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
1
2
L
06.01.24
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
09.11.22
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
1
0
W
06.08.22
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
0
1
L
27.12.20
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
02.03.19
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
3
2
W
11.12.16
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
3
2
W
Last matches: Tondela
01.08.26
Fri
Tondela
Rio Ave
1
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Tondela
Famalicao
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Arouca
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Tondela
Casa Pia
1
0
W
29.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Tondela
FC Porto
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Tondela
Vitória SC
0
5
L
20.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estrela
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Tondela
Estoril
2
2
D
25.01.26
Pri
Tondela
Famalicao
0
3
L
11.01.26
Pri
Tondela
Moreirense
0
1
L
29.11.25
Pri
Tondela
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Tondela
AVS
2
2
D
05.10.25
Pri
Tondela
Rio Ave
0
3
L
27.09.25
Pri
Tondela
Santa Clara
2
1
W
12.09.25
Pri
Tondela
Alverca
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pri
Tondela
Benfica
0
3
L
10.08.25
Pri
Tondela
SC Braga
0
3
L
H2H away: Tondela
15.12.25
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
L
24.07.25
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
1
2
W
06.01.24
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
09.11.22
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
1
0
L
06.08.22
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
0
1
W
27.12.20
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
L
02.03.19
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
3
2
L
11.12.16
H2H
Nacional
Tondela
3
2
L