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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
04.10.2025 14:30
Estádio da Madeira
Referee: Helder Malheiro, Portugal
Nacional
Match Timeline
Moreirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
V. Sousa · Assist: D. Pinto
Moreirense
🟨
15'
Maracás
Moreirense
VAR
19'
Jesús Ramírez
Nacional
⚽
21'
J. Ramirez
Nacional
🟨
30'
Yan Maranhão
Moreirense
🟨
50'
Ze Vitor
Nacional
⚽
56'
Kiko · Assist: Yan Maranhao
Moreirense
⚽
59'
Leo Santos · Assist: Liziero
Nacional
🟥
62'
Vasco Sousa
Moreirense
🔄
70'
Alanzinho ↔ Bernardo
Moreirense
🔄
70'
Kiko Bondoso ↔ G. Batista
Moreirense
🔄
70'
Yan Maranhao ↔ Landerson
Moreirense
🟨
72'
Mateja Stjepanović
Moreirense
🔄
76'
C. Labidi ↔ F. Soares
Nacional
🔄
81'
Pablo Ruan ↔ Witi
Nacional
⚽
84'
J. Ramirez
Nacional
🔄
85'
Travassos ↔ C. Teguia
Moreirense
🔄
90+1'
Liziero ↔ A. Sousa
Nacional

Nacional vs Moreirense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Moreirense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional0.97
Moreirense1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Nacional
WWDLW
6 GF / 10 GA
Moreirense Moreirense
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
3
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
4
3.43
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional Nacional 7 matches
Moreirense Moreirense 7 matches
Nacional Statistic Moreirense
2 Wins 5
1 Draws 0
4 Losses 2
6 Goals For 10
10 Goals Against 8
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
3 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
3.43 Shots On Goal 3.14
10.29 Total Shots 9.43
5.29 Corners 4.14
41.6% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 2 times, Moreirense won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:24 from Nacional's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Nacional 4-2-3-1 / Moreirense 4-3-3
H2H summary: Nacional wins 2, draws 3, Moreirense wins 10

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2