Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Nacional
Guimaraes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
33 matches
Guimaraes
33 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Guimaraes |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 12 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 18 | Losses | 15 |
| 35 | Goals For | 39 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.21 | Shots On Goal | 3.94 |
| 12.79 | Total Shots | 13.33 |
| 4.45 | Corners | 4.39 |
| 46.5% | Ball Possession | 51% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Guimaraes. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nacional have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
With 31 points from 33 games and a place of 14, Nacional still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats with a 35:45 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jesús Ramírez (16 goals), Paulinho Bóia (4 goals), Ze Vitor (4 goals), with creative support from Jose Gomes (5 assists), Liziero (4 assists), Paulinho Bóia (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Guimaraes sit 8 with 42 points after 33 league matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 39:49 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Samu (7 goals), Gustavo (5 goals), Oumar Camara (5 goals), with creative support from N. Saviolo (4 assists), Gonçalo Nogueira (4 assists), Samu (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 6 times, Guimaraes won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Nacional's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Nacional
3
4
1
5
1
4
Lineups
Nacional
Santa Clara
Nacional
Estrela
Nacional
Leganes
Nacional
Tondela
Nacional
Leixoes
Nacional
Machico
Nacional
Santa Clara
Nacional
AVS
Nacional
Tondela
Nacional
Alverca
Nacional
Benfica
Nacional
Estrela
Nacional
Famalicao
Nacional
Estoril
Nacional
Moreirense
Nacional
SC Braga
Nacional
Arouca
Nacional
FC Porto
Nacional
Casa Pia
Nacional
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
Arouca
Guimaraes
Chaves
Guimaraes
Nottingham Forest
Guimaraes
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Guimaraes
Academica
Guimaraes
Penafiel
Guimaraes
Felgueiras 1932
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
AVS
Guimaraes
Tondela
Guimaraes
Benfica
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Alverca
Guimaraes
SC Braga
Guimaraes
Estrela
Guimaraes
Arouca
Nacional
Leganes
Nacional
Leixoes
Nacional
Machico
Nacional
AVS
Nacional
Alverca
Nacional
Estrela
Nacional
Estoril
Nacional
SC Braga
Nacional
FC Porto
Nacional
Casa Pia
Nacional
Rio Ave
Nacional
Santa Clara
Nacional
Tondela
Nacional
Benfica
Nacional
Famalicao
Nacional
Moreirense
Nacional
Arouca
Nacional
Sporting CP
Nacional
GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
GIL Vicente
Guimaraes
AVS
Guimaraes
Benfica
Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
SC Braga
Guimaraes
Arouca
Guimaraes
Estoril
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
Tondela
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Guimaraes
Alverca
Guimaraes
Estrela
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Guimaraes
FC Porto