Nacional vs FC Porto Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
FC Porto Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional0.83
FC Porto1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
11 GF / 16 GA
FC Porto
WLDWL
13 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.43
5
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
3
2.8
Shots on Goal
6.4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
10 matches
FC Porto
7 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 0 |
| 5 | Losses | 1 |
| 11 | Goals For | 13 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.86 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.43 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 2.8 | Shots On Goal | 6.4 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 14.8 |
| 3.6 | Corners | 7 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 54.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 1 times, FC Porto won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:41 from Nacional's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Nacional 3-4-2-1 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: Nacional wins 1, draws 1, FC Porto wins 13
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
Away
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Nacional
Home
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:11 | -11 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2