PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
15.02.2026 15:30
Estádio da Madeira
Referee: J. Bessa
Nacional
Match Timeline
FC Porto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
Francisco Gonçalves
Nacional
🔄
46'
J. Silva ↔ M. Baeza
Nacional
🔄
59'
R. Mora ↔ G. Veiga
FC Porto
🔄
59'
O. Pietuszewski ↔ B. Sainz
FC Porto
60'
J. Bednarek · Assist: G. Veiga
FC Porto
🔄
71'
Witi ↔ Pablo Ruan
Nacional
🔄
74'
D. Gul ↔ T. Moffi
FC Porto
🔄
74'
V. Froholdt ↔ S. Fofana
FC Porto
🔄
76'
C. Goncalves ↔ L. Vallier
Nacional
🟨
84'
Liziero
Nacional
🔄
85'
Paulinho Boia ↔ Daniel Junior
Nacional
🔄
85'
Liziero ↔ C. Labidi
Nacional
🟨
87'
Kaique
Nacional
🟨
90+3'
Lenny Vallier
Nacional
🔄
90'
Pepê ↔ William Gomes
FC Porto

Nacional vs FC Porto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
FC Porto Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional0.97
FC Porto1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Nacional
WWDLW
27 GF / 30 GA
FC Porto FC Porto
WLDWL
55 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.48
13
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
15
3.95
Shots on Goal
5.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional Nacional 21 matches
FC Porto FC Porto 29 matches
Nacional Statistic FC Porto
5 Wins 23
6 Draws 4
10 Losses 2
27 Goals For 55
30 Goals Against 14
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 0.48
13 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 17
5 Failed To Score 2
3.95 Shots On Goal 5.31
12 Total Shots 14.38
4.24 Corners 5.52
45.2% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 1 times, FC Porto won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:41 from Nacional's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Nacional 4-3-3 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: Nacional wins 1, draws 1, FC Porto wins 13

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2