Nacional vs Famalicao Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
64.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Nacional
Famalicao
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
11 matches
Famalicao
11 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 2 |
| 12 | Goals For | 12 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.64 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.83 | Shots On Goal | 2.83 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 9.17 |
| 3.33 | Corners | 5.83 |
| 50% | Ball Possession | 55.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nacional have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Famalicao. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nacional expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Famalicao in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Famalicao having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 12, Nacional still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 6:8 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Léo Santos (1 goals), Liziero (1 goals), Zé Vitor (1 goals), with creative support from Léo Santos (1 assists), Liziero (1 assists), Daniel Júnior (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 3 points from 5 games and a place of 14, Famalicao still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 4:6 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Koutsias (3 goals), F. van Breemen (1 goals), with creative support from Mathias De Amorim (1 assists), Gil Dias (1 assists), Óscar Aranda (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 3 times, Famalicao won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Nacional's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Nacional
Home
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
Famalicao
Away
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | -14 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|