AUSTRALIA CAPITAL TERRITORY NPL
12.09.2026 08:00
Deakin Stadium

Canberra FC vs Cooma Tigers FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Canberra FC Win 46.6%
Draw 10.4%
Cooma Tigers FC Win 43.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Canberra FC2.35
Cooma Tigers FC2.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Canberra FC Canberra FC
WWDLW
65 GF / 24 GA
Cooma Tigers FC Cooma Tigers FC
WLDWL
65 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
3.1
Average Goals Scored
2.95
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
13
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Canberra FC Canberra FC 21 matches
Cooma Tigers FC Cooma Tigers FC 22 matches
Canberra FC Statistic Cooma Tigers FC
18 Wins 16
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
65 Goals For 65
24 Goals Against 27
3.1 Avg Goals Scored 2.95
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
13 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 13
7 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 1-1, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cooma Tigers FC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cooma Tigers FC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Canberra FC Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Canberra FC arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 52 points after 20 matches. Their record of 17 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats with goals at 64:24 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Cooma Tigers FC Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Cooma Tigers FC arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 44 points after 20 matches. With 14 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses plus a goal ratio of 59:24, they bring very strong form and are on a winning streak into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)

Standings

Capital Territory NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 17 1 2 64:24 40 52
W W W W W
2 20 15 1 4 71:26 45 46
L W L W D
3 20 14 2 4 59:24 35 44
W W W W W
4 20 14 0 6 49:39 10 42
L W W L W
5 20 12 2 6 42:28 14 38
L W W W W
6 20 11 0 9 39:39 0 33
L L L W L
7 20 7 2 11 45:55 -10 23
W W L L D
8 20 6 2 12 24:39 -15 20
L W L D D
9 20 2 3 15 25:50 -25 9
L L L L D
10 20 3 0 17 15:66 -51 9
L L L L W
11 20 2 1 17 17:60 -43 7
L L L W L