Nacional
Match Timeline
Estoril
Nacional vs Estoril Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
61.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 39.4%
Draw 21.9%
Estoril Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.02
Estoril1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
7 GF / 10 GA
Estoril
WLDWL
5 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
4
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
1
4
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
6 matches
Estoril
5 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Estoril |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 1 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 7 | Goals For | 5 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.8 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 50% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 5 times, Estoril won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Nacional's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.1%)
Predicted formations: Nacional 3-4-2-1 / Estoril 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nacional wins 5, draws 4, Estoril wins 5
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 14 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Nacional
Home
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Estoril
Away
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | -14 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2