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--.--.---- --:--
Nacional
FT
0 - 1
Estoril
Estádio da Madeira
Referee: M. Fonseca
Nacional
Match Timeline
Estoril
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
F. Bacher · Assist: J. Carvalho
Estoril
🟨
16'
João Carvalho
Estoril
🔄
46'
J. Silva ↔ C. Labidi
Nacional
🔄
59'
Jandro ↔ Xeka
Estoril
🔄
59'
A. Marques ↔ R. Guitane
Estoril
🔄
59'
Y. Begraoui ↔ A. Lacximicant
Estoril
🔄
63'
M. Baeza ↔ L. Joao
Nacional
🔄
63'
Gabriel Veron ↔ Pablo Ruan
Nacional
🟨
76'
Jesús Ramírez
Nacional
🔄
78'
J. Carvalho ↔ Pizzi
Estoril
🔄
78'
P. Carvalho ↔ P. Amaral
Estoril
🔄
79'
Matheus Dias ↔ Daniel Junior
Nacional
🔄
79'
Paulinho Boia ↔ A. Sousa
Nacional
🟨
80'
Lucas João
Nacional
🟨
83'
Ze Vitor
Nacional
🟨
88'
Joel Robles
Estoril
🟨
90+3'
Pablo
Nacional
🟨
90'
Chiheb Labidi
Nacional
🟨
90+4'
Ricard Sánchez
Estoril

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Estoril Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.37
Estoril1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Nacional
WWDLW
29 GF / 37 GA
Estoril Estoril
WLDWL
46 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.84
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
15
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
17
4.08
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional Nacional 25 matches
Estoril Estoril 25 matches
Nacional Statistic Estoril
5 Wins 9
7 Draws 7
13 Losses 9
29 Goals For 46
37 Goals Against 42
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.84
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
15 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 15
4 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 8
4.08 Shots On Goal 4.4
12.4 Total Shots 12.08
4.2 Corners 4.4
45% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 4 times, Estoril won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Nacional's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Nacional 4-3-3 / Estoril 4-3-3
H2H summary: Nacional wins 4, draws 4, Estoril wins 6
Stats
Nacional Nacional
Estoril Estoril
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 4
16 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 1
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 8
8 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
397 Total passes 343
296 Passes accurate 260
0.80 expected_goals 1.12
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nacional
Formation
Estoril
Kaique Pereira
Kaique Pereira
A. Nunez
A. Nunez
Leo Santos
Leo Santos
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor
L. Vallier
L. Vallier
M. Baeza
↓
M. Baeza
Matheus Dias
↓
Matheus Dias
J. Silva
↓
J. Silva
Gabriel Veron
↓
Gabriel Veron
J. Ramirez
J. Ramirez
Paulinho Boia
↓
Paulinho Boia
J. Robles
J. Robles
P. Carvalho
↓
P. Carvalho
Ferro
Ferro
F. Bacher
⚽
F. Bacher
R. Sanchez
R. Sanchez
Jandro
↓
Jandro
A. Tsoungui
A. Tsoungui
J. Holsgrove
J. Holsgrove
J. Carvalho
🎯 ↓
J. Carvalho
Y. Begraoui
↓
Y. Begraoui
A. Marques
↓
A. Marques
Nacional 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Kaique Pereira
G
16
A. Nunez
D
34
Leo Santos
D
38
Ze Vitor
🟨 83'
D
24
L. Vallier
D
8
M. Baeza
↓ 63'
M
6
Matheus Dias
↓ 79'
M
26
J. Silva
↓ 46'
M
27
Gabriel Veron
↓ 63'
F
9
J. Ramirez
🟨 76'
F
11
Paulinho Boia
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
50
K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
G
20
Jota Garces
M
19
L. Joao
↑ 63' 🟨 80'
F
15
C. Labidi
↑ 46' 🟨 90'
M
10
Daniel Junior
↑ 79'
M
88
Deivison
M
18
A. Sousa
↑ 79'
M
99
Pablo Ruan
↑ 63' 🟨 90+3'
F
33
C. Goncalves
D
Estoril 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
J. Robles
🟨 88'
G
22
P. Carvalho
↓ 78'
D
4
Ferro
D
25
F. Bacher
⚽ 8'
D
2
R. Sanchez
🟨 90+4'
D
6
Jandro
↓ 59'
M
5
A. Tsoungui
M
10
J. Holsgrove
M
12
J. Carvalho
🎯 8' ↓ 78' 🟨 16'
F
14
Y. Begraoui
↓ 59'
F
9
A. Marques
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
16
M. Turk
G
21
Pizzi
↑ 78'
M
8
Xeka
↑ 59'
M
99
R. Guitane
↑ 59'
M
20
G. Costa
D
7
N. Lominadze
M
24
P. Amaral
↑ 78'
D
19
A. Lacximicant
↑ 59'
F
70
Peixinho
F
Last matches: Nacional
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
Last matches: Estoril
07.08.26
Pri
Estoril
Famalicao
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Estoril
CF Os Belenenses
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Torreense
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Alverca
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Atlético CP
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estoril
Benfica
1
3
L
10.05.26
Pri
Estoril
Alverca
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Estoril
SC Braga
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Famalicao
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Moreirense
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Estoril
FC Porto
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Arouca
2
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Estoril
Rio Ave
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Estoril
Casa Pia
0
0
D
27.02.26
Pri
Estoril
Sporting CP
0
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Estoril
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Estoril
AVS
0
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estoril
Tondela
2
2
D
31.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Santa Clara
4
2
W
24.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Guimaraes
4
2
W
H2H: Nacional vs Estoril
15.03.26
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
26.10.25
H2H
Estoril
Nacional
1
1
D
15.02.25
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
2
2
D
15.09.24
H2H
Estoril
Nacional
1
0
L
25.07.21
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
1
2
L
22.04.20
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
0
0
D
14.12.19
H2H
Estoril
Nacional
1
2
W
09.04.17
H2H
Estoril
Nacional
0
1
W
26.11.16
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
10.04.16
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
4
1
W
06.12.15
H2H
Estoril
Nacional
1
1
D
16.02.15
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
1
0
W
14.09.14
H2H
Estoril
Nacional
2
1
L
20.01.14
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
2
2
D
17.08.13
H2H
Estoril
Nacional
3
1
L
Last matches: Nacional
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
11.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
15.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
W
29.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
W
20.09.25
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
4
L
09.08.25
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
H2H at home: Nacional
15.03.26
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
2
2
D
25.07.21
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
1
2
L
22.04.20
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
0
0
D
26.11.16
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
10.04.16
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
4
1
W
16.02.15
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
1
0
W
20.01.14
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
2
2
D
Last matches: Estoril
31.07.26
Fri
Estoril
CF Os Belenenses
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Estoril
Alverca
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Estoril
Alverca
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Estoril
SC Braga
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Moreirense
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Estoril
Arouca
2
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Estoril
Sporting CP
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Estoril
AVS
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Santa Clara
4
2
W
19.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Estrela
5
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Estoril
Benfica
1
3
L
14.12.25
Pri
Estoril
Famalicao
0
4
L
30.11.25
Pri
Estoril
FC Porto
0
1
L
01.11.25
Pri
Estoril
Rio Ave
4
0
W
03.10.25
Pri
Estoril
Casa Pia
2
2
D
21.09.25
Pri
Estoril
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
31.08.25
Pri
Estoril
Tondela
2
2
D
16.08.25
Pri
Estoril
Guimaraes
2
3
L
H2H away: Estoril
15.03.26
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
2
2
D
25.07.21
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
1
2
W
22.04.20
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
0
0
D
26.11.16
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
W
10.04.16
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
4
1
L
16.02.15
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
1
0
L
20.01.14
H2H
Nacional
Estoril
2
2
D