PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
15.03.2026 15:30
Estádio da Madeira
Referee: M. Fonseca
Nacional
Match Timeline
Estoril
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
F. Bacher · Assist: J. Carvalho
Estoril
🟨
16'
João Carvalho
Estoril
🔄
46'
J. Silva ↔ C. Labidi
Nacional
🔄
59'
Jandro ↔ Xeka
Estoril
🔄
59'
A. Marques ↔ R. Guitane
Estoril
🔄
59'
Y. Begraoui ↔ A. Lacximicant
Estoril
🔄
63'
M. Baeza ↔ L. Joao
Nacional
🔄
63'
Gabriel Veron ↔ Pablo Ruan
Nacional
🟨
76'
Jesús Ramírez
Nacional
🔄
78'
J. Carvalho ↔ Pizzi
Estoril
🔄
78'
P. Carvalho ↔ P. Amaral
Estoril
🔄
79'
Matheus Dias ↔ Daniel Junior
Nacional
🔄
79'
Paulinho Boia ↔ A. Sousa
Nacional
🟨
80'
Lucas João
Nacional
🟨
83'
Ze Vitor
Nacional
🟨
88'
Joel Robles
Estoril
🟨
90+3'
Pablo
Nacional
🟨
90'
Chiheb Labidi
Nacional
🟨
90+4'
Ricard Sánchez
Estoril

Nacional vs Estoril Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Estoril Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.37
Estoril1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Nacional
WWDLW
29 GF / 37 GA
Estoril Estoril
WLDWL
46 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.84
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
15
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
17
4.08
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional Nacional 25 matches
Estoril Estoril 25 matches
Nacional Statistic Estoril
5 Wins 9
7 Draws 7
13 Losses 9
29 Goals For 46
37 Goals Against 42
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.84
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
15 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 15
4 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 8
4.08 Shots On Goal 4.4
12.4 Total Shots 12.08
4.2 Corners 4.4
45% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 5 times, Estoril won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Nacional's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Nacional 4-3-3 / Estoril 4-3-3
H2H summary: Nacional wins 5, draws 4, Estoril wins 5

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2