Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
89.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Nacional
AVS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
31 matches
AVS
31 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 1 |
| 7 | Draws | 11 |
| 16 | Losses | 19 |
| 34 | Goals For | 22 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 65 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.71 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.1 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 4.26 | Shots On Goal | 3.06 |
| 12.42 | Total Shots | 10.94 |
| 4.29 | Corners | 3.65 |
| 45.4% | Ball Possession | 39.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AVS. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 31 points from 31 games and a place of 14, Nacional still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 34:41, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jesús Ramírez (16 goals), Paulinho Bóia (4 goals), Ze Vitor (4 goals), with creative support from Jose Gomes (5 assists), Liziero (4 assists), Paulinho Bóia (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
AVS sit 18 with 14 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 11 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 22:65 goal record continues to suggest poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on Nene (4 goals), Tomané (4 goals), D. Duarte (3 goals), with creative support from Pedro Lima (2 assists), Diogo Spencer (2 assists), Guilherme Neiva (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 3 times, AVS won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from Nacional's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.
Nacional
6
3
10
7
9
9
Lineups
Nacional
Estrela
Nacional
Leganes
Nacional
Tondela
Nacional
Leixoes
Nacional
Machico
Nacional
Guimaraes
Nacional
Santa Clara
Nacional
Tondela
Nacional
Alverca
Nacional
Benfica
Nacional
Estrela
Nacional
Famalicao
Nacional
Estoril
Nacional
Moreirense
Nacional
SC Braga
Nacional
Arouca
Nacional
FC Porto
Nacional
Casa Pia
Nacional
Sporting CP
Nacional
Rio Ave
AVS
Paredes
AVS
Moreirense
AVS
Maritimo
AVS
Chaves
AVS
Moreirense
AVS
FC Porto
AVS
Sporting CP
AVS
Rio Ave
AVS
Guimaraes
AVS
GIL Vicente
AVS
Tondela
AVS
Santa Clara
AVS
Alverca
AVS
Estrela
AVS
Benfica
AVS
Estoril
AVS
Famalicao
AVS
SC Braga
AVS
Casa Pia
AVS
Arouca
Nacional
Leganes
Nacional
Leixoes
Nacional
Machico
Nacional
Guimaraes
Nacional
Alverca
Nacional
Estrela
Nacional
Estoril
Nacional
SC Braga
Nacional
FC Porto
Nacional
Casa Pia
Nacional
Rio Ave
Nacional
Santa Clara
Nacional
Tondela
Nacional
Benfica
Nacional
Famalicao
Nacional
Moreirense
Nacional
Arouca
Nacional
Sporting CP
Nacional
GIL Vicente
AVS
Moreirense
AVS
Maritimo
AVS
Moreirense
AVS
Rio Ave
AVS
GIL Vicente
AVS
Tondela
AVS
Alverca
AVS
Benfica
AVS
Famalicao
AVS
Casa Pia
AVS
FC Porto
AVS
Sporting CP
AVS
Guimaraes
AVS
Santa Clara
AVS
Estrela
AVS
Estoril
AVS
SC Braga
AVS
Arouca