Nacional
Match Timeline
Arouca
Nacional vs Arouca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arouca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.52
Arouca1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
4 GF / 8 GA
Arouca
WLDWL
7 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
2.6
2
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
2.6
Shots on Goal
3.4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
5 matches
Arouca
5 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 4 | Goals For | 7 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.6 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 2.6 | Shots On Goal | 3.4 |
| 8.8 | Total Shots | 9.4 |
| 6.2 | Corners | 3.6 |
| 38.6% | Ball Possession | 52.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 2 times, Arouca won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:23 from Nacional's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Nacional 4-1-4-1 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nacional wins 2, draws 5, Arouca wins 7
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Arouca
Away
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 |
Nacional
Home
|
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2