Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
54.7%
|
- |
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional Asuncion
17 matches
Deportivo Recoleta
17 matches
| Nacional Asuncion | Statistic | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 7 |
| 23 | Goals For | 26 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.59 | Shots On Goal | 3.82 |
| 10.88 | Total Shots | 10.76 |
| 4 | Corners | 3.71 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 53.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Recoleta. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nacional Asuncion expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Deportivo Recoleta in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Recoleta having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Nacional Asuncion arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 26 points after 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, while the -:- goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Valdez (4 goals), A. Samudio (2 goals), D. J. Colman Escobar (2 goals), with creative support from A. D. Canete Torres (3 assists), I. Valdez (2 assists), O. Gaona Lugo (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a balanced approach.
Deportivo Recoleta sit 7 with 22 points after 17 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the -:- goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Wlk (7 goals), A. Gonzalez (6 goals), Richard Ortiz (3 goals), with creative support from W. Baez (7 assists), K. Parzajuk (3 assists), P. Rios (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a balanced approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Nacional Asuncion won 2 times, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Nacional Asuncion's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.
Nacional Asuncion
6
2
8
5
6
1
Lineups
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 49 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 2 |
Nacional Asuncion
Home
|
22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 9 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 8 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Deportivo Recoleta
Away
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | -27 | 15 |
W
D
W
L
L
|