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NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
09.10.2026 18:00
Rat Verlegh Stadion
NAC Breda
Match Timeline
MVV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
Charles-Andreas Brym · Assist: Gabriel Osei Misehouy
NAC Breda
🔄
30'
Toni Vinogradac ↔ Naim Matoug
MVV
🟨
52'
Jan Van den Bergh
NAC Breda
🔄
53'
Gabriel Osei Misehouy ↔ Brahim Ghalidi
NAC Breda
🔄
60'
Yael Liesdek ↔ Mika Luijendijk
MVV
🟨
61'
Robert Klaasen
MVV
🔄
63'
Jan Van den Bergh ↔ Mylan Brouwers
NAC Breda
🔄
81'
Noa El Hamdaoui ↔ Thijme Verheijen
MVV
🔄
82'
Robert Klaasen ↔ Delano Asante
MVV
🔄
85'
Charles-Andreas Brym ↔ Pepijn Reulen
NAC Breda
🔄
85'
Maximilien Balard ↔ Fredrik Jensen
NAC Breda
🟨
89'
Naim Matoug
MVV

NAC Breda vs MVV Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.1%
1.30 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.38 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
NAC Breda Win 59.1%
Draw 5.6%
MVV Win 35.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
NAC Breda1.88
MVV1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
NAC Breda NAC Breda
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
MVV MVV
WLDWL
24 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
2
12
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
11
6.33
Shots on Goal
3.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NAC Breda NAC Breda 15 matches
MVV MVV 18 matches
NAC Breda Statistic MVV
7 Wins 6
2 Draws 5
6 Losses 7
27 Goals For 24
29 Goals Against 36
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 2
12 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 8
0 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
6.33 Shots On Goal 3.22
21.56 Total Shots 10.44
7 Corners 4.22
58.1% Ball Possession 54.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward MVV. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. MVV arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

NAC Breda Analysis

So far, NAC Breda have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 14 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 19:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Brym (4 goals), P. Gladon (4 goals), M. Soumano (3 goals), with creative support from M. Nassoh (3 assists), B. Lucassen (2 assists), G. Misehouy (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

MVV Analysis

With 16 points from 9 games and a place of 5, MVV still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 13:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on O. Dumont (4 goals), E. Sierra (1 goals), N. El Hamdaoui (1 goals), with creative support from R. Klaasen (2 assists), O. Dumont (1 assists), E. Sierra (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, NAC Breda won 9 times, MVV won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:13 from NAC Breda's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.31 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: NAC Breda 4-2-3-1 / MVV 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NAC Breda wins 9, draws 1, MVV wins 3

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8
MVV Away
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
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