Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Tukums Win 0%
Draw 0%
Riga Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tukums1.41
Riga2.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tukums
WWDLW
43 GF / 53 GA
Riga
WLDWL
85 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
2.66
2.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
24
BTTS Yes
20
21
Over 2.5
26
0
Shots on Goal
3.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tukums
26 matches
Riga
32 matches
| Tukums | Statistic | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 23 |
| 10 | Draws | 5 |
| 13 | Losses | 4 |
| 43 | Goals For | 85 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.66 |
| 2.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 8 |
| 0 | Corners | 1 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 26.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tukums won 1 times, Riga won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:54 from Tukums's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Tukums - / Riga 3-5-2
H2H summary: Tukums wins 1, draws 2, Riga wins 12
Last matches: Tukums
18.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
05.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
3
L
01.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
26.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
2
3
L
21.06.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
17.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
2
1
W
12.06.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
0
3
L
25.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
1
D
07.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
6
1
W
01.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
1
2
L
21.04.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
2
2
D
13.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
3
3
D
05.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
1
D
Last matches: Riga
18.07.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
03.05.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
H2H: Tukums vs Riga
18.07.26
H2H
Riga
Tukums
3
1
L
20.05.26
H2H
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
09.04.26
H2H
Riga
Tukums
3
3
D
24.10.25
H2H
Riga
Tukums
0
0
D
03.08.25
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
1
L
12.07.25
H2H
Riga
Tukums
4
0
L
31.05.25
H2H
Riga
Tukums
3
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
3
L
27.10.24
H2H
Riga
Tukums
10
1
L
04.08.24
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
5
L
29.05.24
H2H
Riga
Tukums
3
0
L
16.04.24
H2H
Tukums
Riga
2
1
W
06.10.23
H2H
Riga
Tukums
4
0
L
23.07.23
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
6
L
21.05.23
H2H
Riga
Tukums
5
1
L
Last matches: Tukums
01.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
17.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
2
1
W
12.06.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
6
1
W
01.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
2
2
D
13.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
05.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
2
2
D
H2H at home: Tukums
20.05.26
H2H
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
03.08.25
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
1
L
13.04.25
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
3
L
04.08.24
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
5
L
16.04.24
H2H
Tukums
Riga
2
1
W
23.07.23
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
6
L
Last matches: Riga
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Riga
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
1
W
07.03.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.02.26
Fri
Riga
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Riga
Dubai United
2
1
W
21.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Riga
Dila
3
3
D
H2H away: Riga
20.05.26
H2H
Tukums
Riga
1
3
W
03.08.25
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
1
W
13.04.25
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
3
W
04.08.24
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
5
W
16.04.24
H2H
Tukums
Riga
2
1
L
23.07.23
H2H
Tukums
Riga
0
6
W
Standings
Virsliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Riga
Away
|
23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Home
|
23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga