Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
88.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
87.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mwatate United
31 matches
Kibera Black Stars
31 matches
| Mwatate United | Statistic | Kibera Black Stars |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 15 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 19 | Losses | 11 |
| 26 | Goals For | 27 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 0.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.87 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.77 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kibera Black Stars's more proactive style and Mwatate United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kibera Black Stars. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Kibera Black Stars carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 50 points while Mwatate United sit 19 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kibera Black Stars having the stronger overall control. Mwatate United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 24 points from 31 games and a place of 19, Mwatate United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 26:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 31 matches, Kibera Black Stars have collected 50 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 15 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 27:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Mwatate United won 1 times, Kibera Black Stars won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Mwatate United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Mwatate United
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
Naivas
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
MOFA
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
3K
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
Mwatate United
Naivas
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
Soy United
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
Mwatate United
Talanta
Mwatate United
MOFA
Mwatate United
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
Luanda Villa
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
Mwatate United
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
MCF
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
Kibera Black Stars
3K
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
Kibera Black Stars
MCF
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 28 | 81 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 36 | 77 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 19 | 76 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 74 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 21 | 64 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 20 | 63 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 12 | 57 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Kibera Black Stars
Away
|
38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | -1 | 53 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 4 | 52 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 50 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | -6 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | -21 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | -20 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | -24 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 39 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | -21 | 38 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | -18 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | -26 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 |
Mwatate United
Home
|
38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | -37 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|