NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE

27.02.2026 19:00

MVV

3 - 3

De Graafschap

De Geusselt

Referee: E. van de Graaf

MVV

Match Timeline

De Graafschap

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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MVV vs De Graafschap Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis

Probability Distribution

MVV Win 0%

Draw 0%

De Graafschap Win 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

MVV1.27

De Graafschap1.9

Recent Form (Last 5)

MVV

WWDLW

32 GF / 55 GA

De Graafschap

WLDWL

52 GF / 41 GA

Key Stats

1.14

Average Goals Scored

1.86

1.96

Average Goals Conceded

1.46

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.93

Shots on Goal

7.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MVV 28 matches

De Graafschap 28 matches

MVV	Statistic	De Graafschap
8	Wins	14
6	Draws	6
14	Losses	8
32	Goals For	52
55	Goals Against	41
1.14	Avg Goals Scored	1.86
1.96	Avg Goals Conceded	1.46
14	BTTS Yes	20
20	Over 1.5	24
18	Over 2.5	17
14	Over 3.5	14
4	Clean Sheets	4
12	Failed To Score	5
3.93	Shots On Goal	7.11
11.18	Total Shots	17.93
3.75	Corners	7.11
43.8%	Ball Possession	55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, MVV won 2 times, De Graafschap won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:29 from MVV's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: MVV 4-2-3-1 / De Graafschap 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: MVV wins 2, draws 4, De Graafschap wins 9

Standings

Eerste Divisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	ADO Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	53	89	W W L W W
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	27	78	W L D D L
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	17	68	W L W W D
4	De Graafschap Away	38	18	9	11	74:58	16	63	D L L W D
5	Almere City FC	38	18	4	16	78:63	15	58	L L D W W
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	12	58	D L W D W
7	Jong PSV U21	38	17	5	16	66:64	2	56	L L W W L
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	5	55	L D L D W
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	-4	51	L L L D L
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	-8	47	L L W D L
11	FC Eindhoven	38	14	5	19	51:69	-18	47	W L L L D
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	-4	46	W D W L L
13	VVV Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	-8	45	W L D L W
14	Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	-14	45	W D L W D
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	9	44	L D W W D
16	FC OSS	38	11	11	16	54:64	-10	44	W W W W L
17	Jong AZ	38	12	4	22	61:76	-15	40	W L L L W
18	Helmond Sport	38	10	9	19	42:62	-20	39	L W D D L
19	MVV Home	38	9	11	18	41:73	-32	38	L D D L L
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	-23	35	L W L L L

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