Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
65.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mushuc Runa SC
17 matches
Independiente del Valle
24 matches
| Mushuc Runa SC | Statistic | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 17 |
| 6 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 22 | Goals For | 48 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.71 | Shots On Goal | 6.39 |
| 12.41 | Total Shots | 19.39 |
| 4.29 | Corners | 6.83 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Independiente del Valle's more proactive style and Mushuc Runa SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Independiente del Valle. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Independiente del Valle look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independiente del Valle carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Mushuc Runa SC sit 12 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mushuc Runa SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Independiente del Valle in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente del Valle having the stronger overall control.
With 18 points from 16 games and a place of 12, Mushuc Runa SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats with a 19:21 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ronie Carrillo (4 goals), Kevin Velasco (2 goals), Renato Ibarra (2 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Kevin Velasco (2 assists), Jackson González (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Independiente del Valle approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 17 outings. The return of 13 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 36:18, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Emerson Pata (6 goals), C. González (5 goals), D. Reasco (4 goals), with creative support from D. Reasco (3 assists), J. Sornoza (3 assists), A. Rodríguez (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mushuc Runa SC won 3 times, Independiente del Valle won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:27 from Mushuc Runa SC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Mushuc Runa SC
0
7
3
5
2
2
Lineups
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 49:20 | 29 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 35 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 34 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 31:18 | 13 | 32 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:21 | 0 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 19:16 | 3 | 28 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 28 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21:20 | 1 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 26 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Mushuc Runa SC
Home
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 24 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 24 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 19:21 | -2 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 23 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 23 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 21 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 7:25 | -18 | 13 |
L
L
D
L
W
|