Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
73.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mushuc Runa SC
14 matches
Guayaquil City FC
17 matches
| Mushuc Runa SC | Statistic | Guayaquil City FC |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 17 | Goals For | 13 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.21 |
| 11.71 | Total Shots | 8.64 |
| 4.14 | Corners | 3.14 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 55.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guayaquil City FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mushuc Runa SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Guayaquil City FC in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guayaquil City FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
With 16 points from 14 games and a place of 10, Mushuc Runa SC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats with a 17:19 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ronie Carrillo (4 goals), Freddy Mina (3 goals), F. Castelli (2 goals), with creative support from K. Velasco (3 assists), Jackson González (2 assists), Ronie Carrillo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Guayaquil City FC sit 9 with 18 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:13 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Mero (4 goals), D. Diaz (2 goals), P. Gonzalez (2 goals), with creative support from J. J. Ayovi Caicedo (4 assists), D. Diaz (1 assists), P. Gonzalez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mushuc Runa SC won 6 times, Guayaquil City FC won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:27 from Mushuc Runa SC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Mushuc Runa SC
6
3
10
0
5
2
Lineups
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Leones del Norte
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Macara
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 14 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 12 | 26 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 5 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 24 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 1 | 20 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Guayaquil City FC
Away
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 12 |
Mushuc Runa SC
Home
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | -3 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | -7 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
W
L
D
L
D
|