HUNGARY NB I
--.--.---- --:--
Hidegkuti Nandor Stadium
Referee: P. Zierkelbach
MTK Budapest
Match Timeline
Kisvarda FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
I. Atrok · Assist: A. Molnar
MTK Budapest
🟨
37'
Mihály Kata
MTK Budapest
🔄
46'
T. Yordanov ↔ S. Novothny
Kisvarda FC
🔄
63'
R. Popoola ↔ L. Szor
Kisvarda FC
🔄
64'
I. Atrok ↔ K. Nemeth
MTK Budapest
🔄
64'
Z. Kerezsi ↔ G. Jurek
MTK Budapest
🟨
66'
Martin Chlumecký
Kisvarda FC
🔄
69'
M. Chlumecky ↔ A. Jovicic
Kisvarda FC
🔄
69'
H. Szikszai ↔ T. A. Balogun
Kisvarda FC
🔄
71'
H. Nemeth ↔ J. Plsek
MTK Budapest
🔄
76'
A. Molnar ↔ V. Vitalyos
MTK Budapest
🔄
76'
B. Biro ↔ G. Molnar
Kisvarda FC
89'
K. Nemeth · Assist: J. Plsek
MTK Budapest
90'
A. Jovicic · Assist: L. Szor
Kisvarda FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.2%
-
Probability Distribution
MTK Budapest Win 63.7%
Draw 0%
Kisvarda FC Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
MTK Budapest1.61
Kisvarda FC1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
WWDLW
50 GF / 58 GA
Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC
WLDWL
33 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
1.14
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
19
BTTS Yes
13
21
Over 2.5
13
3.86
Shots on Goal
2.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 29 matches
Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC 29 matches
MTK Budapest Statistic Kisvarda FC
8 Wins 11
8 Draws 7
13 Losses 11
50 Goals For 33
58 Goals Against 42
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
19 BTTS Yes 13
26 Over 1.5 18
21 Over 2.5 13
17 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 9
3.86 Shots On Goal 2.28
9.83 Total Shots 8.03
3.31 Corners 3.24
38.9% Ball Possession 38.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kisvarda FC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

MTK Budapest Analysis

From their first 29 matches, MTK Budapest have collected 32 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 50:58 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Molnar (9 goals), I. Atrok (5 goals), R. Molnar (5 goals), with creative support from I. Bognar (7 assists), Patrik Kovács (4 assists), K. Nemeth (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kisvarda FC Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Kisvarda FC have collected 40 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 33:42 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Biro (7 goals), B. Cipetic (4 goals), T. Yordanov (4 goals), with creative support from Jasmin Mešanović (5 assists), B. Melnyk (3 assists), B. Biro (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, MTK Budapest won 5 times, Kisvarda FC won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from MTK Budapest's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: MTK Budapest 4-2-3-1 / Kisvarda FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: MTK Budapest wins 5, draws 3, Kisvarda FC wins 7
Stats
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
10
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 7
7 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 0
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 4
10 Blocked Shots 3
18 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 8
472 Total passes 435
400 Passes accurate 368
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

MTK Budapest
Formation
Kisvarda FC
K. Hegyi
K. Hegyi
V. Armalas
V. Armalas
I. Beriashvili
I. Beriashvili
T. Kadar
T. Kadar
P. Kovacs
P. Kovacs
M. Kata
M. Kata
A. Zeljkovic
A. Zeljkovic
A. Molnar
🎯
A. Molnar
H. Nemeth
H. Nemeth
I. Atrok
I. Atrok
Z. Kerezsi
Z. Kerezsi
I. Popovich
I. Popovich
B. Cipetic
B. Cipetic
N. Radmanovac
N. Radmanovac
B. Olah
B. Olah
M. Chlumecky
M. Chlumecky
M. Matanovic
M. Matanovic
B. Melnyk
B. Melnyk
R. Popoola
R. Popoola
H. Szikszai
H. Szikszai
T. Yordanov
T. Yordanov
B. Biro
B. Biro
MTK Budapest 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
47
K. Hegyi
G
26
V. Armalas
D
4
I. Beriashvili
D
25
T. Kadar
D
27
P. Kovacs
D
6
M. Kata
80
A. Zeljkovic
M
7
A. Molnar
🎯 24' ↓ 76'
8
H. Nemeth
↓ 71'
M
21
I. Atrok
⚽ 24' ↓ 64'
M
20
Z. Kerezsi
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
24
T. Fadgyas
18
K. Nemeth
⚽ 89' ↑ 64'
F
10
I. Bognar
11
M. Jurina
F
17
R. Polievka
F
15
I. A. Szeles
D
3
J. Szepe
D
39
G. Jurek
↑ 64'
F
23
J. Plsek
🎯 89' ↑ 71'
M
2
B. Varju
14
A. Horvath
30
V. Vitalyos
↑ 76'
Kisvarda FC 4-4-2
Starting XI
30
I. Popovich
G
24
B. Cipetic
D
26
N. Radmanovac
D
50
B. Olah
D
5
M. Chlumecky
↓ 69' 🟨 66'
D
11
M. Matanovic
M
14
B. Melnyk
6
R. Popoola
↓ 63'
M
96
H. Szikszai
↓ 69'
99
T. Yordanov
↓ 46'
F
29
B. Biro
↓ 76'
Substitutes
1
M. Kovacs
G
23
S. Medgyes
M
70
L. Szor
🎯 90' ↑ 63'
M
80
H. Mbock
M
27
J. Mesanovic
F
3
A. Jovicic
⚽ 90' ↑ 69'
D
86
S. Novothny
↑ 46'
F
16
G. Molnar
↑ 76'
M
55
K. Nagy
F
42
T. Lippai
D
90
T. A. Balogun
↑ 69'
F
19
R. Yazhyk
D
Last matches: MTK Budapest
18.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Komárno
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Kozarmisleny FC
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Koper
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
LNZ Cherkasy
0
4
L
08.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Celje
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Kecskeméti TE
2
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Vasas
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcikai
4
2
W
15.05.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Puskas Academy
2
2
D
02.05.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Nyiregyhaza
1
1
D
24.04.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcikai
0
0
D
11.04.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Zalaegerszegi TE
3
0
W
04.04.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Ujpest
2
2
D
20.03.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Paks
0
2
L
13.03.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Gyori ETO FC
0
0
D
08.03.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Diosgyori VTK
1
1
D
27.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Debreceni VSC
2
2
D
23.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Ferencvarosi TC
1
3
L
14.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Puskas Academy
2
2
D
08.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Nyiregyhaza
2
4
L
Last matches: Kisvarda FC
25.07.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Budapest Honved
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Kisvarda FC
Zemplín Michalovce
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Kisvarda FC
Bukovyna
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Kisvarda FC
Kazincbarcikai
1
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Kisvarda FC
Vasas
1
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
Kisvarda FC
Tatran Prešov
5
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Kisvarda FC
Budapest Honved
1
2
L
16.05.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Gyori ETO FC
0
1
L
02.05.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Kazincbarcikai
1
2
L
25.04.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Diosgyori VTK
1
2
L
13.04.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Debreceni VSC
0
0
D
04.04.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Zalaegerszegi TE
0
2
L
22.03.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Ferencvarosi TC
1
1
D
14.03.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Ujpest
1
2
L
06.03.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Puskas Academy
1
0
W
28.02.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Paks
2
1
W
21.02.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Nyiregyhaza
2
2
D
15.02.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Gyori ETO FC
0
1
L
06.02.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Kazincbarcikai
1
0
W
01.02.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Diosgyori VTK
1
1
D
H2H: MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC
18.04.26
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
2
1
W
24.01.26
H2H
Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
2
3
W
28.09.25
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
4
0
W
02.04.24
H2H
Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
3
2
L
17.03.24
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
2
1
W
25.11.23
H2H
Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
3
1
L
11.08.23
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
0
D
19.03.22
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
0
D
27.11.21
H2H
Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
5
0
L
27.10.21
H2H
Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
4
1
L
13.08.21
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
1
2
L
21.04.21
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
1
L
02.02.21
H2H
Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
0
2
W
24.10.20
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
1
1
D
20.04.19
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
1
L
Last matches: MTK Budapest
18.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Komárno
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Kozarmisleny FC
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Koper
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
LNZ Cherkasy
0
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Kecskeméti TE
2
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Vasas
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcikai
4
2
W
02.05.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Nyiregyhaza
1
1
D
11.04.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Zalaegerszegi TE
3
0
W
20.03.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Paks
0
2
L
08.03.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Diosgyori VTK
1
1
D
23.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Ferencvarosi TC
1
3
L
14.02.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Puskas Academy
2
2
D
31.01.26
NB
MTK Budapest
Kazincbarcikai
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Ajka
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Fehérvár FC
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
MTK Budapest
Kozarmisleny FC
5
2
W
13.12.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Ujpest
3
4
L
09.11.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Debreceni VSC
3
0
W
18.10.25
NB
MTK Budapest
Nyiregyhaza
5
1
W
H2H at home: MTK Budapest
18.04.26
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
2
1
W
28.09.25
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
4
0
W
17.03.24
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
2
1
W
11.08.23
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
0
D
19.03.22
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
0
D
13.08.21
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
1
2
L
21.04.21
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
1
L
24.10.20
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
1
1
D
20.04.19
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
1
L
Last matches: Kisvarda FC
08.07.26
Fri
Kisvarda FC
Vasas
1
3
L
27.06.26
Fri
Kisvarda FC
Budapest Honved
1
2
L
02.05.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Kazincbarcikai
1
2
L
04.04.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Zalaegerszegi TE
0
2
L
14.03.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Ujpest
1
2
L
21.02.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Nyiregyhaza
2
2
D
15.02.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Gyori ETO FC
0
1
L
01.02.26
NB
Kisvarda FC
Diosgyori VTK
1
1
D
12.01.26
Fri
Kisvarda FC
Radnicki 1923
0
3
L
10.01.26
Fri
Kisvarda FC
Rizespor
1
2
L
08.01.26
Fri
Kisvarda FC
Dukla Praha
0
1
L
21.12.25
NB
Kisvarda FC
Debreceni VSC
1
0
W
07.12.25
NB
Kisvarda FC
Ferencvarosi TC
0
3
L
22.11.25
NB
Kisvarda FC
Puskas Academy
0
2
L
08.11.25
NB
Kisvarda FC
Paks
3
5
L
19.10.25
NB
Kisvarda FC
Kazincbarcikai
1
0
W
28.09.25
NB
Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
0
4
L
30.08.25
NB
Kisvarda FC
Zalaegerszegi TE
2
1
W
15.08.25
NB
Kisvarda FC
Ujpest
1
0
W
27.07.25
NB
Kisvarda FC
Nyiregyhaza
1
1
D
H2H away: Kisvarda FC
18.04.26
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
2
1
L
28.09.25
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
4
0
L
17.03.24
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
2
1
L
11.08.23
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
0
D
19.03.22
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
0
D
13.08.21
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
1
2
W
21.04.21
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
1
W
24.10.20
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
1
1
D
20.04.19
H2H
MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC
0
1
W

Standings

NB I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 20 9 4 65:30 35 69
W W D W W
2 33 21 5 7 67:31 36 68
W W W L W
3 33 15 8 10 63:46 17 53
W W L W L
4 33 14 11 8 51:41 10 53
W L D W D
5 33 13 9 11 49:43 6 48
L L L W L
6 33 13 7 13 43:43 0 46
D W W L L
7 33 11 7 15 48:57 -9 40
L L L W W
8 33 11 7 15 36:49 -13 40
L L L L D
9 33 10 10 13 47:57 -10 40
D D W L W
10 33 9 11 13 55:62 -7 38
D D D W W
11 33 6 10 17 39:65 -26 28
L L W L L
12 33 6 4 23 31:70 -39 22
D W D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - NB II.