Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
83.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.5%
|
- |
MSV Duisburg
Hoffenheim II
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
MSV Duisburg
33 matches
Hoffenheim II
33 matches
| MSV Duisburg | Statistic | Hoffenheim II |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 11 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 15 |
| 59 | Goals For | 60 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 20 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.41 | Shots On Goal | 4.85 |
| 8.96 | Total Shots | 11.59 |
| 4 | Corners | 3.48 |
| 36% | Ball Possession | 47% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with MSV Duisburg expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Hoffenheim II in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hoffenheim II having the stronger overall control. MSV Duisburg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 60 points compared to Hoffenheim II in 15 on 40, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hoffenheim II. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
MSV Duisburg approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 60 points after 33 outings. They have recorded 17 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, with a 59:43 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Conor Noß (9 goals), P. Sussek (7 goals), Joshua Bitter (5 goals), with creative support from P. Sussek (7 assists), J. Symalla (7 assists), Joshua Bitter (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Hoffenheim II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 40 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 60:59 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Zeitler (15 goals), A. Amaimouni (9 goals), L. Duric (9 goals), with creative support from L. Duric (8 assists), A. Amaimouni (5 assists), Luca Erlein (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, MSV Duisburg won 1 times, Hoffenheim II won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from MSV Duisburg's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.
MSV Duisburg
5
3
2
4
3
0
Lineups
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
MSV Duisburg
Erzgebirge Aue
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
MSV Duisburg
Alemannia Aachen
MSV Duisburg
Waldhof Mannheim
MSV Duisburg
VfL Osnabrück
MSV Duisburg
Rot-Weiß Essen
MSV Duisburg
TSV 1860 München
MSV Duisburg
Hansa Rostock
MSV Duisburg
FC Saarbrücken
MSV Duisburg
FC Ingolstadt 04
MSV Duisburg
Havelse
MSV Duisburg
FC Schweinfurt 05
MSV Duisburg
SV Wehen
MSV Duisburg
Verl
MSV Duisburg
SSV Ulm 1846
MSV Duisburg
SSV Jahn Regensburg
MSV Duisburg
Stuttgart II
MSV Duisburg
Hannover 96
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
Hoffenheim II
SV Wehen
Hoffenheim II
FC Saarbrücken
Hoffenheim II
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Hoffenheim II
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hoffenheim II
FC Schweinfurt 05
Hoffenheim II
Waldhof Mannheim
Hoffenheim II
Erzgebirge Aue
Hoffenheim II
VfL Osnabrück
Hoffenheim II
Stuttgart II
Hoffenheim II
Rot-Weiß Essen
Hoffenheim II
SSV Ulm 1846
Hoffenheim II
TSV 1860 München
Hoffenheim II
FC Viktoria Köln
Hoffenheim II
Verl
Hoffenheim II
Hansa Rostock
Hoffenheim II
Energie Cottbus
Hoffenheim II
Alemannia Aachen
Hoffenheim II
Havelse
Hoffenheim II
SV Wehen
Hoffenheim II
FC Saarbrücken
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
MSV Duisburg
VfL Osnabrück
MSV Duisburg
TSV 1860 München
MSV Duisburg
FC Saarbrücken
MSV Duisburg
Havelse
MSV Duisburg
FC Schweinfurt 05
MSV Duisburg
Verl
MSV Duisburg
SSV Jahn Regensburg
MSV Duisburg
Erzgebirge Aue
MSV Duisburg
Alemannia Aachen
MSV Duisburg
Waldhof Mannheim
MSV Duisburg
Rot-Weiß Essen
MSV Duisburg
Hansa Rostock
MSV Duisburg
FC Ingolstadt 04
MSV Duisburg
SV Wehen
MSV Duisburg
SSV Ulm 1846
MSV Duisburg
Stuttgart II
Hoffenheim II
SV Wehen
Hoffenheim II
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Hoffenheim II
Waldhof Mannheim
Hoffenheim II
Erzgebirge Aue
Hoffenheim II
Stuttgart II
Hoffenheim II
SSV Ulm 1846
Hoffenheim II
Verl
Hoffenheim II
Energie Cottbus
Hoffenheim II
Havelse
Hoffenheim II
FC Saarbrücken
Hoffenheim II
FC Ingolstadt 04
Hoffenheim II
FC Schweinfurt 05
Hoffenheim II
VfL Osnabrück
Hoffenheim II
Rot-Weiß Essen
Hoffenheim II
TSV 1860 München
Hoffenheim II
FC Viktoria Köln
Hoffenheim II
Hansa Rostock
Hoffenheim II
Alemannia Aachen
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 32 | 80 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 21 | 72 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 12 | 70 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
MSV Duisburg
Home
|
38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 17 | 68 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 25 | 67 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 34 | 64 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 64 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 2 | 53 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | -13 | 52 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | -2 | 51 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 9 | 49 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | -12 | 46 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | -6 | 44 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 |
Hoffenheim II
Away
|
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | -6 | 43 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | -32 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | -19 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | -29 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | -49 | 21 |
L
L
D
D
D
|