GERMANY 3. LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Referee: A. Nouhoum
MSV Duisburg
Match Timeline
Hoffenheim II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Luis Engelns
Hoffenheim II
17'
L. Lobinger · Assist: F. Kruger
MSV Duisburg
🟨
34'
Yannik Lührs
Hoffenheim II
39'
Y. Luhrs · Assist: L. Engelns
Hoffenheim II
50'
L. Lobinger · Assist: D. Kother
MSV Duisburg
🟨
55'
Luca Erlein
Hoffenheim II
🔄
65'
J. T. Poller ↔ N. El-Jindaoui
Hoffenheim II
🔄
65'
B. O. Labes ↔ J. Fields
Hoffenheim II
🔄
70'
C. Coskun ↔ M. Gockan
MSV Duisburg
🔄
70'
L. Erlein ↔ N. Abraha
Hoffenheim II
🔄
71'
F. Kruger ↔ C. Noss
MSV Duisburg
🔄
71'
L. Lobinger ↔ T. Topken
MSV Duisburg
🔄
74'
D. Kother ↔ P. Sussek
MSV Duisburg
🔄
83'
P. Hennrich ↔ O. Hencke
Hoffenheim II
🔄
83'
L. Engelns ↔ A. Honajzer
Hoffenheim II
🔄
87'
R. Bulic ↔ D. Becker
MSV Duisburg
🟨
90'
Dominik Becker
MSV Duisburg
90'
C. Noss · Assist: T. Topken
MSV Duisburg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.5%
-
Probability Distribution
MSV Duisburg Win 65.3%
Draw 2.8%
Hoffenheim II Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
MSV Duisburg1.79
Hoffenheim II1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
WWDLW
59 GF / 43 GA
Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II
WLDWL
60 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
21
BTTS Yes
25
21
Over 2.5
23
3.41
Shots on Goal
4.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 33 matches
Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 33 matches
MSV Duisburg Statistic Hoffenheim II
17 Wins 11
9 Draws 7
7 Losses 15
59 Goals For 60
43 Goals Against 59
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
21 BTTS Yes 25
25 Over 1.5 28
21 Over 2.5 23
15 Over 3.5 20
10 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 4
3.41 Shots On Goal 4.85
8.96 Total Shots 11.59
4 Corners 3.48
36% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with MSV Duisburg expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Hoffenheim II in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hoffenheim II having the stronger overall control. MSV Duisburg arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 60 points compared to Hoffenheim II in 15 on 40, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hoffenheim II. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

MSV Duisburg Analysis

MSV Duisburg approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 60 points after 33 outings. They have recorded 17 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, with a 59:43 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Conor Noß (9 goals), P. Sussek (7 goals), Joshua Bitter (5 goals), with creative support from P. Sussek (7 assists), J. Symalla (7 assists), Joshua Bitter (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Hoffenheim II Analysis

Hoffenheim II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 40 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 60:59 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Zeitler (15 goals), A. Amaimouni (9 goals), L. Duric (9 goals), with creative support from L. Duric (8 assists), A. Amaimouni (5 assists), Luca Erlein (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, MSV Duisburg won 1 times, Hoffenheim II won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from MSV Duisburg's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.2%)
Predicted formations: MSV Duisburg 5-4-1 / Hoffenheim II 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: MSV Duisburg wins 1, draws 0, Hoffenheim II wins 1
Stats
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
6 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 4
2 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
390 Total passes 544
308 Passes accurate 472
1.19 expected_goals 0.51
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

MSV Duisburg
Formation
Hoffenheim II
M. Braune
M. Braune
J. Bitter
J. Bitter
T. Fleckstein
T. Fleckstein
B. Schlicke
B. Schlicke
N. Jessen
N. Jessen
R. Bulic
R. Bulic
C. Viet
C. Viet
C. Coskun
C. Coskun
F. Kruger
🎯
F. Kruger
D. Kother
🎯
D. Kother
L. Lobinger
⚽ 2
L. Lobinger
L. Petersson
L. Petersson
L. Erlein
L. Erlein
Y. Luhrs
Y. Luhrs
V. Lassig
V. Lassig
Y. Hor
Y. Hor
L. Engelns
🎯
L. Engelns
L. Duric
L. Duric
P. Hennrich
P. Hennrich
J. T. Poller
J. T. Poller
D. Zeitler
D. Zeitler
B. O. Labes
B. O. Labes
MSV Duisburg 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
M. Braune
G
29
J. Bitter
D
5
T. Fleckstein
D
40
B. Schlicke
D
20
N. Jessen
M
6
R. Bulic
↓ 87'
M
10
C. Viet
M
27
C. Coskun
↓ 70'
M
26
F. Kruger
🎯 17' ↓ 71'
M
31
D. Kother
🎯 50' ↓ 74'
M
45
L. Lobinger
⚽ 17' ⚽ 50' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
24
J. Paris
G
4
D. Becker
↑ 87' 🟨 90'
M
14
C. Noss
⚽ 90' ↑ 71'
M
17
M. Gockan
↑ 70'
M
18
S. Meuer
M
19
L. Muller
M
22
T. Topken
🎯 90' ↑ 71'
F
23
J. Symalla
M
37
P. Sussek
↑ 74'
M
Hoffenheim II 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
L. Petersson
G
24
L. Erlein
↓ 70' 🟨 55'
D
49
Y. Luhrs
⚽ 39' 🟨 34'
D
6
V. Lassig
D
16
Y. Hor
D
17
L. Engelns
🎯 39' ↓ 83' 🟨 8'
M
10
L. Duric
M
11
P. Hennrich
↓ 83'
M
20
J. T. Poller
↓ 65'
M
38
D. Zeitler
M
45
B. O. Labes
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
33
B. Lade
G
8
D. Dagdeviren
M
13
N. Abraha
↑ 70'
D
19
O. Hencke
↑ 83'
M
23
A. Honajzer
↑ 83'
M
29
B. Makanda
F
30
N. El-Jindaoui
↑ 65'
35
J. Fields
↑ 65'
F
39
F. Bahr
D
Last matches: MSV Duisburg
16.05.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
1
1
D
08.05.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Erzgebirge Aue
0
0
D
03.05.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
2
1
W
24.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Alemannia Aachen
1
3
L
11.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Waldhof Mannheim
4
1
W
07.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
VfL Osnabrück
1
0
W
04.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Rot-Weiß Essen
0
1
L
22.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
TSV 1860 München
2
1
W
14.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Hansa Rostock
1
5
L
08.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Saarbrücken
4
2
W
04.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
0
D
01.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Havelse
1
1
D
21.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
1
W
14.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
SV Wehen
1
6
L
08.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Verl
4
2
W
01.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
SSV Ulm 1846
0
1
L
24.01.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
0
W
18.01.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Stuttgart II
4
0
W
09.01.26
Fri
MSV Duisburg
Hannover 96
0
2
L
21.12.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
0
0
D
Last matches: Hoffenheim II
16.05.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
SV Wehen
0
2
L
10.05.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
FC Saarbrücken
3
2
W
02.05.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
2
L
25.04.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
3
L
10.04.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
FC Schweinfurt 05
1
1
D
07.04.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Waldhof Mannheim
1
1
D
04.04.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Erzgebirge Aue
5
3
W
22.03.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
VfL Osnabrück
0
1
L
15.03.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Stuttgart II
0
1
L
07.03.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Rot-Weiß Essen
2
4
L
03.03.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
SSV Ulm 1846
3
1
W
27.02.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
TSV 1860 München
1
2
L
22.02.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
FC Viktoria Köln
1
3
L
14.02.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Verl
1
3
L
08.02.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Hansa Rostock
2
2
D
31.01.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Energie Cottbus
1
3
L
24.01.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Alemannia Aachen
2
3
L
18.01.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Havelse
0
4
L
21.12.25
3.
Hoffenheim II
SV Wehen
3
1
W
13.12.25
3.
Hoffenheim II
FC Saarbrücken
2
2
D
H2H: MSV Duisburg vs Hoffenheim II
18.04.26
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Hoffenheim II
3
1
W
21.11.25
H2H
Hoffenheim II
MSV Duisburg
4
1
L
Last matches: MSV Duisburg
16.05.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
1
1
D
03.05.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Energie Cottbus
2
1
W
07.04.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
VfL Osnabrück
1
0
W
22.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
TSV 1860 München
2
1
W
08.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Saarbrücken
4
2
W
01.03.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Havelse
1
1
D
21.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Schweinfurt 05
3
1
W
08.02.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
Verl
4
2
W
24.01.26
3.
MSV Duisburg
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2
0
W
13.12.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Erzgebirge Aue
0
0
D
29.11.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Alemannia Aachen
3
1
W
07.11.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Waldhof Mannheim
2
1
W
26.10.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
1
D
03.10.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Hansa Rostock
2
2
D
27.09.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
1
W
13.09.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
SV Wehen
3
1
W
23.08.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
SSV Ulm 1846
2
1
W
02.08.25
3.
MSV Duisburg
Stuttgart II
2
1
W
H2H at home: MSV Duisburg
18.04.26
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Hoffenheim II
3
1
W
Last matches: Hoffenheim II
16.05.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
SV Wehen
0
2
L
02.05.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
2
L
07.04.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Waldhof Mannheim
1
1
D
04.04.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Erzgebirge Aue
5
3
W
15.03.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Stuttgart II
0
1
L
03.03.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
SSV Ulm 1846
3
1
W
14.02.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Verl
1
3
L
31.01.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Energie Cottbus
1
3
L
18.01.26
3.
Hoffenheim II
Havelse
0
4
L
13.12.25
3.
Hoffenheim II
FC Saarbrücken
2
2
D
29.11.25
3.
Hoffenheim II
FC Ingolstadt 04
2
3
L
08.11.25
3.
Hoffenheim II
FC Schweinfurt 05
1
2
L
18.10.25
3.
Hoffenheim II
VfL Osnabrück
4
0
W
01.10.25
3.
Hoffenheim II
Rot-Weiß Essen
1
3
L
20.09.25
3.
Hoffenheim II
TSV 1860 München
5
1
W
16.09.25
3.
Hoffenheim II
FC Viktoria Köln
1
2
L
30.08.25
3.
Hoffenheim II
Hansa Rostock
1
0
W
09.08.25
3.
Hoffenheim II
Alemannia Aachen
4
2
W
H2H away: Hoffenheim II
18.04.26
H2H
MSV Duisburg
Hoffenheim II
3
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 8 6 66:34 32 80
W D W W W
2 38 21 9 8 72:51 21 72
W W L W W
3 38 20 10 8 78:66 12 70
W W L L L
4 38 19 11 8 66:49 17 68
D D W L W
5 38 18 13 7 74:49 25 67
W W D L D
6 38 18 10 10 82:48 34 64
W L W L W
7 38 19 7 12 76:57 19 64
W W D W W
8 38 15 11 12 54:53 1 56
L L D W D
9 38 15 8 15 54:52 2 53
W L L D D
10 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
L W L D D
11 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
D L W L L
12 38 13 10 15 65:56 9 49
W W L W L
13 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
L L W W L
14 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
L L W L D
15 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
L L W W D
16 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
L W L L L
17 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
L W L W L
18 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
W D W D D
19 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
L D L L W
20 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21
L L D D D