FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Mikkelin Urheilupuisto
Referee: J. Vuorinen
MP
Match Timeline
Kooteepee
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
C. Chibuzor
Kooteepee
11'
S. Obioha
MP
36'
A. Tervaniemi · Assist: S. Atakayi
MP
🟥
44'
N. Tahmbi
Kooteepee
🟨
45+1'
R. Kawale
MP
🔄
46'
A. Tulehmo ↔ L. Puhakainen
Kooteepee
🔄
46'
O. Hanninen ↔ R. Polat
Kooteepee
53'
M. Paavola
Kooteepee
🔄
62'
A. Tervaniemi ↔ E. Ylonen
MP
🔄
66'
R. Kawale ↔ S. Stenius
MP
🔄
67'
M. Kastrati ↔ M. Koivuniemi
MP
75'
S. Obioha · Assist: S. Obioha
MP
🔄
77'
F. Manneh ↔ G. Sunday
Kooteepee
🔄
84'
S. Atakayi ↔ S. Seppanen
MP
86'
M. Coker
Kooteepee
87'
S. Seppanen
MP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.54
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.6%
1.54
BTTS Yes
86%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.67
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.50
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
MP Win 34.4%
Draw 14%
Kooteepee Win 51.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
MP1.11
Kooteepee1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
MP MP
WWDLW
25 GF / 28 GA
Kooteepee Kooteepee
WLDWL
28 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MP MP 21 matches
Kooteepee Kooteepee 17 matches
MP Statistic Kooteepee
8 Wins 11
3 Draws 3
10 Losses 3
25 Goals For 28
28 Goals Against 17
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Kooteepee's more proactive style and MP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kooteepee carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 32 points while MP sit 6 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kooteepee having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kooteepee. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

MP Analysis

MP sit 6 with 17 points after 15 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 14:19 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kooteepee Analysis

Kooteepee approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 32 points after 14 outings. With 10 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:14, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, MP won 3 times, Kooteepee won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:39 from MP's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
H2H summary: MP wins 3, draws 2, Kooteepee wins 10

Lineups

MP
Formation
Kooteepee
A. Tervaniemi
A. Tervaniemi
S. Obioha
S. Obioha
V. Laiho
V. Laiho
R. Kawale
R. Kawale
M. Kastrati
M. Kastrati
V. Janhunen
V. Janhunen
A. Chishima
A. Chishima
A. Ring
A. Ring
T. Afshari
T. Afshari
M. Zhuk
M. Zhuk
Derrick Agyei
Derrick Agyei
M. Coker
M. Coker
P. Forsell
P. Forsell
O. Hänninen
O. Hänninen
J. Mäkelä
J. Mäkelä
Foday Manneh
Foday Manneh
M. Paavola
M. Paavola
N. Tahmbi
N. Tahmbi
A. Tulehmo
A. Tulehmo
MP 3-3-3 (estimated)
Starting XI
28
A. Tervaniemi
F
16
S. Obioha
F
4
V. Laiho
D
24
R. Kawale
↓ 66' 🟨 45+1'
M
87
M. Kastrati
F
19
V. Janhunen
M
7
A. Chishima
D
29
A. Ring
D
6
T. Afshari
M
Substitutes
10
E. Ylönen
F
11
Oliver Häyhänen
F
30
T. Heikkinen
G
8
M. Koivuniemi
M
17
S. Seppänen
⚽ 87' ↑ 84'
D
15
S. Stenius
↑ 66'
F
Kooteepee 2-5-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
33
M. Zhuk
G
3
Derrick Agyei
M
8
M. Coker
M
10
P. Forsell
M
21
O. Hänninen
F
7
J. Mäkelä
M
17
Foday Manneh
↓ 77'
F
26
M. Paavola
⚽ 53'
D
13
N. Tahmbi
🟥 44'
D
20
A. Tulehmo
↓ 46'
M
Substitutes
30
L. Puhakainen
D
19
R. Polat
M
25
J. Leikas
G
2
O. Huttunen
D
18
Otto Eloluoto
F
14
G. Sunday
↑ 77'
F
Last matches: MP
29.07.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
2
1
W
15.07.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
Last matches: Kooteepee
18.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
PK-35
0
1
L
10.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JäPS
4
1
W
03.07.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JIPPO
3
3
D
27.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
Haka
2
0
W
12.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
EIF
5
1
W
08.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
Haka
0
2
L
05.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
Klubi-04
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JäPS
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
EIF
2
5
L
24.04.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
PK-35
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JIPPO
0
0
D
10.04.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
MP
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Kooteepee
Gnistan
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Kooteepee
Reipas
2
1
W
H2H: MP vs Kooteepee
25.07.26
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
3
3
D
10.04.26
H2H
Kooteepee
MP
1
0
L
25.02.26
H2H
Kooteepee
MP
1
1
D
20.12.25
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
1
2
L
06.10.24
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
0
5
L
02.06.24
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
1
2
L
13.04.24
H2H
Kooteepee
MP
4
0
L
17.02.24
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
1
5
L
14.01.23
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
0
2
L
16.08.22
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
3
0
W
01.07.22
H2H
Kooteepee
MP
4
1
L
26.03.22
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
2
1
W
20.10.20
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
2
3
L
25.07.20
H2H
Kooteepee
MP
2
3
W
22.02.20
H2H
Kooteepee
MP
4
1
L
Last matches: MP
29.07.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
2
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
MP
PEPO
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
MP
Atlantis
4
1
W
H2H at home: MP
25.07.26
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
3
3
D
20.12.25
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
1
2
L
06.10.24
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
0
5
L
02.06.24
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
1
2
L
17.02.24
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
1
5
L
14.01.23
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
0
2
L
16.08.22
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
3
0
W
26.03.22
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
2
1
W
20.10.20
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
2
3
L
Last matches: Kooteepee
27.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
Haka
2
0
W
05.06.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
KäPa
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
Klubi-04
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JäPS
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
EIF
2
5
L
24.04.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
PK-35
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
Kooteepee
JIPPO
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Kooteepee
Reipas
2
1
W
H2H away: Kooteepee
25.07.26
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
3
3
D
20.12.25
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
1
2
W
06.10.24
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
0
5
W
02.06.24
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
1
2
W
17.02.24
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
1
5
W
14.01.23
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
0
2
W
16.08.22
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
3
0
L
26.03.22
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
2
1
L
20.10.20
H2H
MP
Kooteepee
2
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.54
Draw 4.21
Home 5.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 2.50
Home 5.69
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.25 1.48
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 2.75 1.84
Over 3.0 2.09
Over 3.25 2.36
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 4.73
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.25 2.61
Under 2.5 2.19
Under 2.75 1.97
Under 3.0 1.73
Under 3.25 1.57
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 4.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.50
Draw 3.90
Home 5.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 2.40
Home 5.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.83
Draw 2.75
Home 5.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.47
Draw 4.15
Home 5.59
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 2.34
Home 5.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.79
Draw 2.82
Home 5.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.06
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 1.75 1.17
Over 2.0 1.22
Over 2.25 1.42
Over 2.5 1.59
Over 2.75 1.74
Over 3.0 1.91
Over 3.25 2.17
Over 3.5 2.43
Over 3.75 2.88
Over 4.0 3.70
Over 4.25 4.05
Over 4.5 4.40
Over 4.75 5.50
Over 5.0 7.80
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 11.40
Under 1.0 8.40
Under 1.25 6.26
Under 1.5 4.45
Under 1.75 3.98
Under 2.0 3.50
Under 2.25 2.65
Under 2.5 2.21
Under 2.75 1.98
Under 3.0 1.72
Under 3.25 1.55
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 3.75 1.32
Under 4.0 1.20
Under 4.25 1.17
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.58
Draw 3.75
Home 4.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 2.43
Home 4.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.52
Over 3.5 2.30
Over 4.5 3.85
Under 1.5 4.30
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.19

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 26:9 17 34
D W W W W
2 16 10 3 3 28:18 10 33
D L W D W
3 16 8 4 4 29:18 11 28
W D W L L
4 16 7 7 2 23:12 11 28
D W W D D
5 16 8 1 7 16:23 -7 25
W W L W L
6
MP Home
17 6 3 8 19:23 -4 21
W D L D W
7 16 5 2 9 21:30 -9 17
D L L L D
8 17 4 4 9 19:29 -10 16
L L L D L
9 16 2 6 8 14:20 -6 12
L W D L W
10 16 1 6 9 7:20 -13 9
D D D L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen