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05.07.2026 15:30
FT
2 - 1
Mikkelin Urheilupuisto
Referee: M. Haapakoski
MP
Match Timeline
Haka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
S. Obioha
MP
🔄
46'
A. Tervaniemi ↔ M. Kastrati
MP
🔄
46'
K. Nurmi ↔ I. Lanquedoc
Haka
🟨
51'
J. Karlsson
Haka
🔄
59'
R. Kawale ↔ T. Afshari
MP
🔄
59'
E. Ylonen ↔ P. Kerminen
MP
🔄
61'
E. Auvinen ↔ A. Keto-Diyawa
Haka
⚽
63'
O. Laaksonen · Assist: C. Silas
Haka
⚽
69'
P. Kerminen · Assist: T. Afshari
MP
🔄
71'
C. Silas ↔ M. Mahlamaki
Haka
🟨
73'
I. Lanquedoc
Haka
🔄
81'
O. Whyte ↔ T. Lahdensuo
Haka
🔄
83'
S. Obioha ↔ S. Seppanen
MP
🟨
87'
M. Syrjalainen
Haka

MP vs Haka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
MP Win 33.2%
Draw 8.3%
Haka Win 58.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
MP1.06
Haka1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
MP MP
L D L W W
6 GF / 5 GA
Haka Haka
L W W L W
7 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
8
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MP MP 18 matches
Haka Haka 19 matches
MP Statistic Haka
7 Wins 10
2 Draws 6
9 Losses 3
21 Goals For 31
23 Goals Against 17
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
8 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, MP won 2 times, Haka won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:16 from MP's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
H2H summary: MP wins 2, draws 0, Haka wins 5

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 5 4 48:26 22 59
D L D W W
2 27 15 7 5 44:23 21 52
W L D L W
3
Haka Away
27 14 5 8 51:31 20 47
L W L W D
4 27 13 8 6 38:22 16 47
W W D L W
5 27 12 2 13 25:41 -16 38
W L L W L
6 27 9 5 13 32:46 -14 32
W L D L D
7
MP Home
27 8 6 13 29:38 -9 30
L D D W D
8 27 6 9 12 37:37 0 27
D W W L L
9 27 6 7 14 33:49 -16 25
L D W W L
10 27 3 8 16 23:47 -24 17
L W D L D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen