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31.10.2026 12:15
Ak Bars Arena
Referee: Danil Kashirin
Rubin
Match Timeline
Fakel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Ilnur Alshin
Fakel
🟨
25'
Aleksandr Koksharov
Fakel
🟨
35'
Ugochukwu Iwu
Rubin
⚽
38'
Eddie Salcedo
Rubin
🟨
57'
Ilya Samoshnikov
Rubin
🔄
58'
Ugochukwu Iwu ↔ Bogdan Jočić
Rubin
🔄
58'
Ulvi Babaev ↔ Nazmi Gripshi
Rubin
🔄
61'
Aleksandr Koksharov ↔ Axel Gnapi
Fakel
🔄
61'
Belajdi Pusi ↔ Maksim Turishchev
Fakel
🔄
67'
Ilya Samoshnikov ↔ Ilya Rozhkov
Rubin
🔄
67'
Eddie Salcedo ↔ Daniil Motorin
Rubin
🔄
69'
Vyacheslav Yakimov ↔ Ravil Netfullin
Fakel
🔄
69'
Ilnur Alshin ↔ Hodaifa El Mhassani
Fakel
🟨
70'
Ignacio Saavedra
Rubin
🔄
78'
Butta Magomedov ↔ Nikolay Giorgobiani
Fakel
🟨
87'
Ilya Rozhkov
Rubin
🟨
87'
Matvey Bardachev
Fakel
🔄
90+3'
Ignacio Saavedra ↔ Denil Maldonado
Rubin

Rubin vs Fakel Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.26
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.57
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.1%
1.26 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.04 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.57 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.6%
1.30 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.08 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.10 ▥
Probability Distribution
Rubin Win 46.7%
Draw 27.5%
Fakel Win 25.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rubin1.33
Fakel1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rubin Rubin
L L L D D
2 GF / 9 GA
Fakel Fakel
L W L W L
3 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
13
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
11
3
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rubin Rubin 23 matches
Fakel Fakel 24 matches
Rubin Statistic Fakel
9 Wins 6
8 Draws 8
6 Losses 10
30 Goals For 28
24 Goals Against 33
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
13 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 8
3 Shots On Goal 2.33
10.42 Total Shots 10.83
3.75 Corners 4.67
47.3% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Rubin won 4 times, Fakel won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Rubin's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.1%)
Predicted formations: Rubin 5-3-2 / Fakel 5-3-2
Missing players: Rubin 4, Fakel 2
H2H summary: Rubin wins 4, draws 2, Fakel wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 10 0 3 30:13 17 30
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 21:12 9 28
W L W W W
3 13 7 5 1 21:12 9 26
D W L W W
4 13 8 2 3 25:10 15 26
W L W D W
5 13 6 5 2 21:16 5 23
L D D L D
6 13 5 3 5 16:17 -1 18
W W D W L
7 13 4 5 4 17:14 3 17
W D D D L
8 13 3 8 2 14:12 2 17
D W D W D
9 13 3 6 4 17:20 -3 15
L W L D D
10
Rubin Home
13 3 6 4 13:18 -5 15
W L L L D
11 13 4 1 8 16:26 -10 13
L L D L L
12 13 3 3 7 15:28 -13 12
W W D L D
13 13 2 6 5 16:23 -7 12
L W D L W
14 13 2 5 6 16:20 -4 11
L L D W D
15 13 2 5 6 15:19 -4 11
L L L D L
16
Fakel Away
13 1 3 9 8:21 -13 6
L L W L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL