Motherwell
Match Timeline
Falkirk
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
76.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 37.6%
Draw 6.7%
Falkirk Win 55.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.5
Falkirk1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell
WWDLW
11 GF / 10 GA
Falkirk
WLDWL
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
1
1.75
Shots on Goal
1
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Motherwell
6 matches
Falkirk
3 matches
| Motherwell | Statistic | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 11 | Goals For | 3 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 1.75 | Shots On Goal | 1 |
| 2.25 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 1.25 | Corners | 7 |
| 25% | Ball Possession | 58% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 0 times, Falkirk won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Motherwell's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-3-1 / Falkirk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 0, draws 2, Falkirk wins 3
Stats
Motherwell
Falkirk
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
9
9
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
1
1
Blocked Shots
5
5
Lineups
Motherwell
Formation
Falkirk
A. Paulsen
T. Sparrow
J. Knight-Lebel
M. Moormann
E. Longelo
O. Priestman
L. Fadinger
W. Vogt
M. Booth
I. Said
T. Maswanhise
S. Bain
R. Strain
L. Neilson
L. Henderson
L. McCann
F. Barbrook
B. Krauhaus
A. Doherty
F. Yeats
E. Ross
B. Parkinson
Motherwell
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Paulsen
G
7
T. Sparrow
D
↓ 64'
4
J. Knight-Lebel
D
5
M. Moormann
D
↓ 65'
🟨 51'
45
E. Longelo
D
↓ 76'
12
O. Priestman
M
8
L. Fadinger
M
🟨 75'
77
W. Vogt
M
↓ 76'
27
M. Booth
M
↓ 46'
19
I. Said
M
18
T. Maswanhise
F
Substitutes
21
Matty Connelly
G
31
J. McConnell
G
17
R. Charles-Cook
F
↑ 76'
22
J. Koutroumbis
D
↑ 64'
23
E. Wilson
D
↑ 76'
24
L. Ross
M
25
O. Whyte
M
11
A. Lowry
M
↑ 46'
3
J. Girdwood-Reich
D
↑ 65'
Falkirk
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
19
S. Bain
G
22
R. Strain
D
15
L. Neilson
D
5
L. Henderson
D
3
L. McCann
D
16
F. Barbrook
M
28
B. Krauhaus
M
↓ 90+1'
🟨 65'
47
A. Doherty
M
↓ 68'
14
F. Yeats
M
↓ 46'
🟨 44'
23
E. Ross
M
7
B. Parkinson
F
↓ 68'
Substitutes
1
N. Hogarth
G
10
C. Sibbald
M
↑ 46'
4
J. McMillan
D
↑ 90+1'
9
R. MacIver
F
↑ 68'
21
D. Melniks
M
6
C. Donaldson
D
20
C. Allan
D
11
P. McGovern
F
↑ 68'
32
K. Bennet
M
Last matches: Motherwell
13.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
3
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Genk
3
4
L
05.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Aarhus
0
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
5
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
Last matches: Falkirk
01.08.26
Pre
Falkirk
ST Mirren
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Falkirk
Genk
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Falkirk
Airdrie United
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Rangers
2
5
L
13.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Rangers
3
6
L
04.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pre
Falkirk
ST Mirren
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Falkirk
Aberdeen
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
5
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee
1
0
W
04.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Livingston
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
0
2
L
24.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
4
1
W
14.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
0
1
L
H2H: Motherwell vs Falkirk
09.08.26
H2H
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
02.05.26
H2H
Falkirk
Motherwell
1
0
L
04.04.26
H2H
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
03.12.25
H2H
Falkirk
Motherwell
0
0
D
18.10.25
H2H
Motherwell
Falkirk
1
2
L
Last matches: Motherwell
13.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Genk
3
4
L
13.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
3
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
0
0
D
25.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
H2H at home: Motherwell
09.08.26
H2H
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
04.04.26
H2H
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
18.10.25
H2H
Motherwell
Falkirk
1
2
L
Last matches: Falkirk
07.07.26
Fri
Falkirk
Airdrie United
2
1
W
13.05.26
Pre
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pre
Falkirk
Aberdeen
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
04.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Livingston
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
0
2
L
10.01.26
Pre
Falkirk
ST Mirren
2
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee
0
1
L
20.12.25
Pre
Falkirk
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Falkirk
Hibernian
0
3
L
30.11.25
Pre
Falkirk
Rangers
0
0
D
22.11.25
Pre
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Falkirk
Celtic
0
4
L
18.10.25
Pre
Falkirk
Motherwell
2
1
W
27.09.25
Pre
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
31.08.25
Pre
Falkirk
Aberdeen
1
0
W
09.08.25
Pre
Falkirk
Livingston
1
3
L
H2H away: Falkirk
09.08.26
H2H
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
04.04.26
H2H
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
W
18.10.25
H2H
Motherwell
Falkirk
1
2
W
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Motherwell
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 10 |
Falkirk
Away
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)