MALTA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Gozo Stadium
Referee: E. Barbara
Mosta
Match Timeline
Sliema Wanderers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
U. Djuranovic ↔ V. Plut
Sliema Wanderers
28'
Giancarlo
Mosta
🟨
62'
V. Plut
Sliema Wanderers
🔄
66'
E. Agius ↔ Wescley
Sliema Wanderers
🔄
66'
N. Micallef ↔ Thiaguinho
Sliema Wanderers
🔄
66'
Murilo Henrique ↔ Fernandinho
Sliema Wanderers
66'
P. Emmanuel
Mosta
🔄
67'
Joao Victor ↔ M. Bolanos
Mosta
🔄
67'
C. Oderinde ↔ S. Zibo
Mosta
🔄
73'
R. Prsa ↔ L. Montebello
Sliema Wanderers
77'
L. Montebello
Sliema Wanderers
🔄
78'
Pedro Cacho ↔ Agius
Mosta
🔄
79'
Giancarlo ↔ A. Kozic
Mosta
🟨
88'
Zammit K. II
Mosta
90'
V. Plut
Sliema Wanderers

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Mosta Win 31.1%
Draw 12.4%
Sliema Wanderers Win 56.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mosta1.07
Sliema Wanderers1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mosta Mosta
WWDLW
31 GF / 53 GA
Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers
WLDWL
33 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
14
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mosta Mosta 29 matches
Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 29 matches
Mosta Statistic Sliema Wanderers
6 Wins 12
6 Draws 10
17 Losses 7
31 Goals For 33
53 Goals Against 31
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
14 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sliema Wanderers. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sliema Wanderers having the stronger overall control. Sliema Wanderers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 20 points while Mosta sit 6 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Mosta Analysis

Mosta are currently 6 in the standings with 8 points from 13 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 9:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Emmanuel (11 goals), Leo Fernandes (4 goals), Daniel GTA (2 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sliema Wanderers Analysis

Placed 1 with 20 points from 13 outings, Sliema Wanderers continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Bah (6 goals), R. Prsa (5 goals), U. Djuranovic (4 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)

Lineups

Mosta
Formation
Sliema Wanderers
A. Udoh
A. Udoh
N. Portelli
N. Portelli
Giancarlo
Giancarlo
Zammit K. II
Zammit K. II
Joao Victor
Joao Victor
P. Emmanuel
P. Emmanuel
C. Oderinde
C. Oderinde
Willian
Willian
Pedro Cacho
Pedro Cacho
J. Vassallo
J. Vassallo
Leo Fernandes
Leo Fernandes
R. Al Tumi
R. Al Tumi
J. Borg
J. Borg
N. Micallef
N. Micallef
N. Frendo
N. Frendo
A. Overend
A. Overend
U. Djuranovic
U. Djuranovic
R. Prsa
R. Prsa
E. Agius
E. Agius
Murilo Henrique
Murilo Henrique
S. Pisani
S. Pisani
M. Awad
M. Awad
Mosta 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
A. Udoh
7
N. Portelli
10
Giancarlo
⚽ 28' ↓ 79'
11
Zammit K. II
🟨 88'
14
Joao Victor
↓ 67'
26
P. Emmanuel
⚽ 66'
29
C. Oderinde
↓ 67'
31
Willian
41
Pedro Cacho
↓ 78'
74
J. Vassallo
96
Leo Fernandes
Substitutes
99
J. Farrugia
3
M. Bolanos
↑ 67'
5
S. Cachia
13
U. Luke
18
A. Farrugia
20
R. Caruana
21
Agius
↑ 78'
23
A. Kozic
↑ 79'
30
L. Perkins
33
B. Farrugia
42
S. Zibo
↑ 67'
Sliema Wanderers 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
R. Al Tumi
2
J. Borg
3
N. Micallef
↓ 66'
5
N. Frendo
7
A. Overend
11
U. Djuranovic
↓ 4'
12
R. Prsa
↓ 73'
18
E. Agius
↓ 66'
31
Murilo Henrique
↓ 66'
70
S. Pisani
77
M. Awad
Substitutes
1
F. Lauri
25
E. Agu
8
S. Siaw
9
V. Plut
⚽ 90' ↑ 4' 🟨 62'
10
L. Montebello
⚽ 77' ↑ 73'
14
O. Al Matroud
20
Wescley
↑ 66'
21
N. Strickland
93
Thiaguinho
↑ 66'
94
Fernandinho
↑ 66'
95
Marcelo Santos
Last matches: Mosta
10.05.26
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
1
0
W
30.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Birkirkara
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
0
2
L
15.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
3
5
L
28.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Gzira United
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
0
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
0
1
L
25.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Floriana
1
2
L
16.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Valletta FC
0
5
L
11.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
2
0
W
08.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
2
2
D
19.12.25
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
2
3
L
12.12.25
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
1
D
Last matches: Sliema Wanderers
30.04.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Tarxien Rainbows
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
1
D
14.04.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Birkirkara
1
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Hibernians
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Gzira United
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Floriana
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Tarxien Rainbows
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Valletta FC
1
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Birkirkara
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Naxxar Lions
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Mosta
1
0
W
03.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
0
2
L
25.01.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Hibernians
1
3
L
16.01.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
0
W
10.01.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
0
1
L
06.01.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
0
0
D
20.12.25
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Floriana
1
2
L
14.12.25
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Valletta FC
2
1
W
23.11.25
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Birkirkara
2
1
W
Last matches: Mosta
15.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
18.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
0
1
L
16.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Valletta FC
0
5
L
08.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
2
2
D
19.12.25
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
2
3
L
12.12.25
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
1
D
29.10.25
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
3
0
W
24.10.25
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
1
D
02.10.25
Pre
Mosta
Gzira United
3
4
L
27.09.25
Pre
Mosta
Floriana
0
1
L
17.09.25
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
2
2
D
Last matches: Sliema Wanderers
30.04.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Tarxien Rainbows
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Tarxien Rainbows
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Valletta FC
1
0
W
17.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Birkirkara
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Naxxar Lions
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Mosta
1
0
W
03.02.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Marsaxlokk
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
0
2
L
10.01.26
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Hamrun Spartans
0
1
L
20.12.25
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Floriana
1
2
L
14.12.25
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Valletta FC
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Floriana
2
2
D
29.10.25
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Hibernians
3
2
W
16.08.25
Pre
Sliema Wanderers
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
1
W

Standings

Premier League , Opening Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 17:11 6 23
W W W L W
2 11 6 4 1 15:6 9 22
W L L W W
3 11 6 4 1 16:8 8 22
L L W L L
4 11 5 4 2 16:14 2 19
L D D W D
5 11 5 3 3 14:11 3 18
L W W W W
6 11 4 4 3 12:8 4 16
D D D L W
7 11 4 3 4 20:18 2 15
L W D L D
8 11 3 4 4 14:18 -4 13
L D L W L
9
Mosta Home
11 3 2 6 13:19 -6 11
W D L D W
10 11 2 4 5 11:14 -3 10
W L W D D
11 11 1 2 8 10:18 -8 5
L L D L D
12 11 1 2 8 8:21 -13 5
L W W D D
Championship round
Relegation Round