Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Mosta Win 65.8%
Draw 9.1%
Birkirkara Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mosta1.15
Birkirkara1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mosta
WWDLW
5 GF / 6 GA
Birkirkara
WLDWL
9 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2.25
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mosta
4 matches
Birkirkara
4 matches
| Mosta | Statistic | Birkirkara |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 5 | Goals For | 9 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.25 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mosta won 2 times, Birkirkara won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:21 from Mosta's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
H2H summary: Mosta wins 2, draws 5, Birkirkara wins 8
Last matches: Mosta
23.08.26
Pre
Mosta
Balzan FC
2
1
W
17.08.26
Pre
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
2
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Mosta
Gzira United
1
1
D
17.07.26
Fri
Mosta
Birzebbuga
0
4
L
10.05.26
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
1
0
W
30.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Birkirkara
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
2
2
D
15.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pre
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
3
5
L
28.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Gzira United
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
0
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
0
1
L
25.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Floriana
1
2
L
Last matches: Birkirkara
22.08.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Hamrun Spartans
1
0
W
17.08.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Gzira United
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Birkirkara
Sliema Wanderers
2
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Birkirkara
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
1
W
30.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Tarxien Rainbows
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Hibernians
0
0
D
14.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Sliema Wanderers
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Floriana
2
2
D
08.03.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Hamrun Spartans
0
3
L
01.03.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Naxxar Lions
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Zabbar St. Patrick
0
3
L
17.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Sliema Wanderers
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Mosta
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Valletta FC
1
0
W
03.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Tarxien Rainbows
5
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
0
1
L
25.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Gzira United
0
2
L
18.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Hibernians
3
0
W
H2H: Mosta vs Birkirkara
30.04.26
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
1
D
14.02.26
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
0
D
21.09.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
0
L
08.02.25
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
L
29.11.24
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
0
L
29.09.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
1
L
09.08.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
1
2
L
24.02.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
2
L
21.10.23
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
0
2
W
26.04.23
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
4
3
L
11.03.23
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
1
1
D
29.10.22
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
1
2
W
15.03.22
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
0
0
D
12.12.21
H2H
Birkirkara
Mosta
2
2
D
Last matches: Mosta
23.08.26
Pre
Mosta
Balzan FC
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Mosta
Birzebbuga
0
4
L
19.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
2
2
D
15.04.26
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Mosta
Hamrun Spartans
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
18.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pre
Mosta
Sliema Wanderers
0
1
L
16.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Valletta FC
0
5
L
08.01.26
Pre
Mosta
Tarxien Rainbows
2
2
D
19.12.25
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
2
3
L
12.12.25
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
1
D
29.10.25
Pre
Mosta
Naxxar Lions
3
0
W
24.10.25
Pre
Mosta
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
1
D
02.10.25
Pre
Mosta
Gzira United
3
4
L
27.09.25
Pre
Mosta
Floriana
0
1
L
17.09.25
Pre
Mosta
Hibernians
2
2
D
H2H at home: Mosta
14.02.26
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
0
D
29.09.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
1
L
09.08.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
1
2
L
24.02.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
2
L
11.03.23
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
1
1
D
Last matches: Birkirkara
24.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Tarxien Rainbows
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Hibernians
0
0
D
14.04.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Sliema Wanderers
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Hamrun Spartans
0
3
L
01.03.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Naxxar Lions
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Mosta
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Gzira United
0
2
L
11.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
1
2
L
07.01.26
Pre
Birkirkara
Valletta FC
0
2
L
21.12.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Hamrun Spartans
1
6
L
13.12.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Floriana
0
2
L
23.11.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Sliema Wanderers
1
2
L
28.10.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Tarxien Rainbows
4
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Floriana
0
2
L
03.10.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Zabbar St. Patrick
2
0
W
28.09.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Marsaxlokk
0
0
D
16.09.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Sliema Wanderers
2
2
D
13.09.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Hibernians
1
2
L
16.08.25
Pre
Birkirkara
Valletta FC
0
0
D
17.07.25
UEF
Birkirkara
Petrocub
0
3
L
H2H away: Birkirkara
14.02.26
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
0
D
29.09.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
1
W
09.08.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
1
2
W
24.02.24
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
0
2
W
11.03.23
H2H
Mosta
Birkirkara
1
1
D
Standings
Premier Division: First stage - Main
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Birkirkara
Away
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Mosta
Home
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Premier League (First stage - Play Out)