MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
14.09.2026 17:00
Stadion Topolica

Mornar vs Otrant-Olympic Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.8%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mornar Win 43.6%
Draw 22.2%
Otrant-Olympic Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mornar1.19
Otrant-Olympic1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mornar Mornar
WWDLW
15 GF / 13 GA
Otrant-Olympic Otrant-Olympic
WLDWL
16 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.45
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mornar Mornar 14 matches
Otrant-Olympic Otrant-Olympic 11 matches
Mornar Statistic Otrant-Olympic
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 2
4 Losses 4
15 Goals For 16
13 Goals Against 15
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Otrant-Olympic. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Otrant-Olympic having the stronger overall control.

Mornar Analysis

Mornar approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 12 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a 8:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Otrant-Olympic Analysis

Otrant-Olympic come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 10 points after 6 matches. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 9:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Mornar won 4 times, Otrant-Olympic won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Mornar's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.8%)
H2H summary: Mornar wins 4, draws 1, Otrant-Olympic wins 3

Standings

Prva Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:3 5 13
L W W W W
2 6 3 3 0 8:4 4 12
W D W W D
3 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
W W L W D
4 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
W L D L W
5 6 2 2 2 2:3 -1 8
L D D L W
6 6 1 4 1 4:2 2 7
D D D W D
7 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
W L D L L
8 6 1 2 3 6:7 -1 5
D W D L L
9 6 1 2 3 2:6 -4 5
L D L D L
10 6 0 4 2 3:7 -4 4
L L D D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga