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MONTENEGRO › FIRST LEAGUE
24.10.2026 15:00
Stadion Topolica

Mornar vs Mladost DG Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Mornar Win 46.5%
Draw 22%
Mladost DG Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mornar1.5
Mladost DG1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mornar Mornar
WWDLW
26 GF / 21 GA
Mladost DG Mladost DG
WLDWL
28 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
11
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mornar Mornar 20 matches
Mladost DG Mladost DG 25 matches
Mornar Statistic Mladost DG
7 Wins 6
7 Draws 8
6 Losses 11
26 Goals For 28
21 Goals Against 45
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
11 BTTS Yes 14
12 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Mornar's more proactive style and Mladost DG's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mladost DG. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mladost DG having the stronger overall control.

Mornar Analysis

Mornar sit 6 with 14 points after 10 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 12:10 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Mladost DG Analysis

Mladost DG sit 7 with 11 points after 10 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 10:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Mornar won 8 times, Mladost DG won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:9 from Mornar's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78%)
H2H summary: Mornar wins 8, draws 1, Mladost DG wins 0

Standings

Prva Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 5 3 3 12:7 5 18
W D W W W
2 10 5 2 3 17:12 5 17
D W W L W
3 11 4 5 2 14:11 3 17
W D D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:7 4 15
D W W W D
5 9 4 3 2 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
6 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L D L D L
7 11 3 3 5 10:17 -7 12
D D L L W
8 11 2 5 4 12:18 -6 11
D D L D L
9 9 1 5 3 7:9 -2 8
L L D D D
10 10 1 4 5 6:13 -7 7
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga