MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Topolica
Mornar
Match Timeline
Dečić
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
D. Perovic
Dečić
🔄
46'
M. Djokaj ↔ D. Bozovic
Dečić
🔄
46'
T. Selimi ↔ B. Radusinovic
Dečić
🔄
46'
D. Perovic ↔ I. Ndiaye
Dečić
47'
B. Sekulic
Mornar
🔄
65'
J. Dasic ↔ S. Denkovic
Mornar
🔄
65'
D. Zoric ↔ M. Djurisic
Mornar
🔄
74'
S. Golubovic ↔ A. Maloku
Dečić
🔄
74'
P. Pavlicevic ↔ V. Strikovic
Dečić
🔄
83'
D. Skrijelj ↔ P. Vukcevic
Mornar
🔄
83'
Y. Yao ↔ V. Dragovic
Mornar
🔄
90+3'
B. Sekulic ↔ N. Vujnovic
Mornar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Mornar Win 52.1%
Draw 11.9%
Dečić Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mornar1.41
Dečić1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mornar Mornar
WWDLW
42 GF / 27 GA
Dečić Dečić
WLDWL
43 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.3
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
15
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mornar Mornar 29 matches
Dečić Dečić 33 matches
Mornar Statistic Dečić
16 Wins 14
6 Draws 7
7 Losses 12
42 Goals For 43
27 Goals Against 45
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
15 BTTS Yes 18
21 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 9
11 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 2
0 Total Shots 8
0 Corners 6
0% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dečić having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mornar come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dečić.

Mornar Analysis

Mornar approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 54 points after 29 outings. The return of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 42:27, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Sekulic (13 goals), S. Denkovic (8 goals), D. Zoric (6 goals), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Dečić Analysis

Dečić arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 46 points after 29 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 38:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Selimi (8 goals), A. Kajevic (6 goals), D. Bozovic (5 goals), with creative support from P. Pavlicevic (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Mornar won 4 times, Dečić won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:15 from Mornar's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Mornar 4-3-3 / Dečić 4-3-3
H2H summary: Mornar wins 4, draws 4, Dečić wins 7

Lineups

Dečić
Formation
Mornar
M. Dragojevic
M. Dragojevic
M. Djokaj
M. Djokaj
A. Bajovic
A. Bajovic
L. Ujkaj
L. Ujkaj
L. Maras
L. Maras
T. Selimi
T. Selimi
J. Dresaj
J. Dresaj
S. Golubovic
S. Golubovic
N. Braunovic
N. Braunovic
D. Perovic
D. Perovic
P. Pavlicevic
P. Pavlicevic
B. Krijestarac
B. Krijestarac
A. Kaludjerovic
A. Kaludjerovic
B. Sekulic
B. Sekulic
D. Skrijelj
D. Skrijelj
Y. Yao
Y. Yao
J. Baosic
J. Baosic
J. Dasic
J. Dasic
D. Zoric
D. Zoric
I. Martinovic
I. Martinovic
V. Ljutica
V. Ljutica
N. Stijepovic
N. Stijepovic
Dečić 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
33
M. Dragojevic
11
M. Djokaj
↓ 46'
14
A. Bajovic
17
L. Ujkaj
18
L. Maras
19
T. Selimi
↓ 46'
22
J. Dresaj
27
S. Golubovic
↓ 74'
29
N. Braunovic
44
D. Perovic
↓ 46' 🟨 36'
74
P. Pavlicevic
↓ 74'
Substitutes
21
A. Camaj
25
D. Radosevic
7
D. Bozovic
↑ 46'
8
A. Maloku
↑ 74'
15
P. Ljuljdjuraj
23
R. Gjelaj
32
B. Radusinovic
↑ 46'
72
I. Ndiaye
↑ 46'
77
V. Strikovic
↑ 74'
Mornar 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
24
B. Krijestarac
4
A. Kaludjerovic
9
B. Sekulic
⚽ 47' ↓ 90+3'
10
D. Skrijelj
↓ 83'
11
Y. Yao
↓ 83'
15
J. Baosic
17
J. Dasic
↓ 65'
18
D. Zoric
↓ 65'
25
I. Martinovic
32
V. Ljutica
33
N. Stijepovic
Substitutes
12
S. Popovic
7
S. Denkovic
↑ 65'
8
M. Djurisic
↑ 65'
14
N. Vukovic
19
P. Vukcevic
↑ 83'
21
M. Rovcanin
35
E. Hajdarpasic
97
N. Vujnovic
↑ 90+3'
99
V. Dragovic
↑ 83'
Last matches: Mornar
16.07.26
UEF
Mornar
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Mornar
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Mornar
Petrovac
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Mornar
Zemun
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
Mornar
Sutjeska
1
0
W
24.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Jezero
2
0
W
20.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
1
1
D
16.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
10.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Bokelj
0
0
D
02.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
3
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
2
1
W
12.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Sutjeska
2
1
W
04.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Jezero
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
2
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
3
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Bokelj
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
0
1
L
01.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
3
0
W
25.02.26
Fir
Mornar
Dečić
0
0
D
Last matches: Dečić
15.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
4
1
W
17.06.26
Fri
Dečić
Vllaznia Shkodër
1
1
D
24.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
1
L
20.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
0
3
L
10.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
3
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
1
1
D
26.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
12.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
4
2
W
08.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
2
L
11.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
0
1
L
01.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
25.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
2
1
W
H2H: Mornar vs Dečić
28.05.26
H2H
Dečić
Mornar
0
1
W
18.04.26
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
0
W
25.02.26
H2H
Dečić
Mornar
0
0
D
18.10.25
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
0
W
17.08.25
H2H
Dečić
Mornar
2
1
L
29.05.25
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
0
1
L
26.04.25
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
0
2
L
02.03.25
H2H
Dečić
Mornar
2
0
L
23.10.24
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
1
D
21.08.24
H2H
Dečić
Mornar
1
0
L
27.04.24
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
1
D
03.03.24
H2H
Dečić
Mornar
0
1
W
28.10.23
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
0
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Dečić
Mornar
3
1
L
05.04.23
H2H
Dečić
Mornar
1
1
D
Last matches: Mornar
16.07.26
UEF
Mornar
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Mornar
Petrovac
0
0
D
24.06.26
Fri
Mornar
Sutjeska
1
0
W
20.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
1
1
D
10.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Bokelj
0
0
D
02.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
3
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Sutjeska
2
1
W
04.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Jezero
2
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
3
0
W
01.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
3
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
Mornar
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mornar
Semendrija 1924
0
1
L
30.11.25
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
3
1
W
09.11.25
Fir
Mornar
Bokelj
0
0
D
01.11.25
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
3
1
W
18.10.25
Fir
Mornar
Dečić
1
0
W
01.10.25
Fir
Mornar
Sutjeska
1
0
W
27.09.25
Fir
Mornar
Jezero
2
2
D
17.09.25
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
1
1
D
24.08.25
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
2
1
W
H2H at home: Mornar
18.04.26
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
0
W
18.10.25
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
0
W
29.05.25
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
0
1
L
26.04.25
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
0
2
L
23.10.24
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
1
D
27.04.24
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
1
D
28.10.23
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
0
1
L
Last matches: Dečić
09.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
17.06.26
Fri
Dečić
Vllaznia Shkodër
1
1
D
24.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
0
3
L
02.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
1
1
D
08.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
2
1
W
06.12.25
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
1
1
D
22.11.25
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
3
L
02.11.25
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
1
1
D
18.10.25
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
1
L
01.10.25
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
2
1
W
21.09.25
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
13.09.25
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
0
4
L
24.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
2
L
10.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
1
0
W
31.07.25
UEF
Dečić
Rapid Vienna
2
4
L
H2H away: Dečić
18.04.26
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
0
L
29.05.25
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
0
1
W
26.04.25
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
0
2
W
23.10.24
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
1
D
27.04.24
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
1
1
D
28.10.23
H2H
Mornar
Dečić
0
1
W

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation