ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
18.04.2026 14:00
The Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe
Match Timeline
Boreham Wood
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
A. Abdulmalik · Assist: T. White
Boreham Wood
🔄
61'
D. Ogwuru ↔ O. Wright
Morecambe
🔄
61'
E. Sousa ↔ L. Richardson
Boreham Wood
🔄
73'
Y. Songo'o ↔ B. Tollitt
Morecambe
🔄
73'
M. Sangare ↔ M. Campbell
Morecambe
🔄
80'
T. Akindileni ↔ K. Jameson
Morecambe
🔄
80'
G. Edwards ↔ A. Fairclough
Morecambe
🔄
80'
R. Booty ↔ C. Reynolds
Boreham Wood
🔄
84'
F. Ilesanmi ↔ J. Newton
Boreham Wood
🔄
84'
M. Rush ↔ J. Landers
Boreham Wood
90'
J. Newton · Assist: A. Abdulmalik
Boreham Wood
90'
L. Richardson · Assist: Z. Brunt
Boreham Wood

Morecambe vs Boreham Wood Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 89%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 89.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
89%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
89.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Morecambe Win 11%
Draw 0%
Boreham Wood Win 89%
Expected Goals (xG)
Morecambe1.44
Boreham Wood2.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Morecambe Morecambe
WWDLW
72 GF / 104 GA
Boreham Wood Boreham Wood
WLDWL
103 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2.1
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
28
BTTS Yes
29
32
Over 2.5
37
0
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Morecambe Morecambe 48 matches
Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 49 matches
Morecambe Statistic Boreham Wood
10 Wins 28
12 Draws 10
26 Losses 11
72 Goals For 103
104 Goals Against 66
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.1
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
28 BTTS Yes 29
43 Over 1.5 45
32 Over 2.5 37
23 Over 3.5 20
7 Clean Sheets 18
14 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 6
0 Total Shots 19.5
0 Corners 7
0% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Boreham Wood's more proactive style and Morecambe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Morecambe have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Boreham Wood. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Boreham Wood having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Boreham Wood carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 84 points while Morecambe sit 22 on 38, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Morecambe Analysis

With 38 points from 44 games and a place of 22, Morecambe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 24 losses, together with goals at 66:95, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Nolan (18 goals), C. Popov (7 goals), G. Edwards (6 goals), with creative support from J. Nolan (7 assists), L. Payne (5 assists), J. Cain (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Boreham Wood Analysis

Boreham Wood approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 84 points after 44 outings. With 25 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats plus a goal balance of 91:58, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Rush (25 goals), Z. Brunt (15 goals), A. Abdulmalik (12 goals), with creative support from Z. Brunt (11 assists), E. Sousa (7 assists), A. Abdulmalik (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Morecambe won 0 times, Boreham Wood won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:6 from Morecambe's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Morecambe wins 0, draws 0, Boreham Wood wins 2

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation