Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
78.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
80%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74.1%
|
- |
Monza
Modena
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Monza
36 matches
Modena
36 matches
| Monza | Statistic | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 14 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 6 | Losses | 12 |
| 56 | Goals For | 47 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.58 | Shots On Goal | 4.81 |
| 14.14 | Total Shots | 15.56 |
| 5.53 | Corners | 5.61 |
| 53.5% | Ball Possession | 50.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Monza expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Modena in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Modena having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Monza arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 72 points compared to Modena in 6 on 52, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Modena. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Monza come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 72 points from 35 matches. Their overall return of 21 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 53:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Petagna (8 goals), Hernani (5 goals), Matteo Pessina (5 goals), with creative support from P. Azzi (6 assists), A. Izzo (4 assists), Patrick Ciurria (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Modena are currently 6 in the standings with 52 points from 35 matches. The record of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 44:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Gliozzi (11 goals), D. Tonoli (5 goals), P. Mendes (4 goals), with creative support from S. Santoro (4 assists), L. Magnino (4 assists), M. De Luca (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Monza won 2 times, Modena won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Monza's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Monza
4
5
3
6
3
4
Lineups
Monza
Galatasaray
Monza
PRO Vercelli
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Empoli
Monza
Mantova
Monza
Sampdoria
Monza
Bari
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Venezia
Monza
Reggiana
Monza
Palermo
Monza
Spezia
Monza
Cesena
Monza
Virtus Entella
Monza
Carrarese
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Sudtirol
Modena
Juve Stabia
Modena
Avellino
Modena
Reggiana
Modena
Frosinone
Modena
Catanzaro
Modena
Sudtirol
Modena
Bari
Modena
Mantova
Modena
Spezia
Modena
Cesena
Modena
Virtus Entella
Modena
Padova
Modena
Juve Stabia
Modena
Carrarese
Modena
Venezia
Modena
Sampdoria
Modena
Empoli
Modena
Palermo
Modena
Pescara
Modena
Padova
Monza
PRO Vercelli
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Empoli
Monza
Bari
Monza
Venezia
Monza
Palermo
Monza
Virtus Entella
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Avellino
Monza
Pescara
Monza
Frosinone
Monza
Carrarese
Monza
Sudtirol
Monza
Cesena
Monza
Spezia
Monza
Reggiana
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Padova
Monza
Sampdoria
Modena
Avellino
Modena
Catanzaro
Modena
Sudtirol
Modena
Bari
Modena
Virtus Entella
Modena
Juve Stabia
Modena
Venezia
Modena
Empoli
Modena
Pescara
Modena
Padova
Modena
Spezia
Modena
Cesena
Modena
Frosinone
Modena
Reggiana
Modena
Palermo
Modena
Carrarese
Modena
Mantova
Modena
Sampdoria
Modena
Torino
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Monza
Home
|
38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Modena
Away
|
38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|