Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
97.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Monza
Empoli
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Monza
38 matches
Empoli
39 matches
| Monza | Statistic | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 14 |
| 7 | Losses | 16 |
| 59 | Goals For | 47 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.71 | Shots On Goal | 4.05 |
| 14.26 | Total Shots | 12.28 |
| 5.55 | Corners | 4.77 |
| 53.2% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Monza's more proactive style and Empoli's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Empoli. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Monza arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 75 points compared to Empoli in 14 on 40, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Empoli arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Monza expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Empoli in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Empoli having the stronger overall control.
Monza come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 75 points after 37 matches. The return of 22 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 59:30, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Petagna (8 goals), D. Mota (5 goals), Hernani (5 goals), with creative support from P. Azzi (6 assists), A. Izzo (4 assists), Patrick Ciurria (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 14 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
With 40 points from 37 games and a place of 14, Empoli still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 13 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 45:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Shpendi (13 goals), B. Popov (5 goals), M. Nasti (4 goals), with creative support from S. Elia (9 assists), Rareș Ilie (4 assists), S. Shpendi (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Monza won 2 times, Empoli won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:12 from Monza's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.
Monza
8
5
10
3
2
2
Lineups
Monza
Galatasaray
Monza
PRO Vercelli
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Mantova
Monza
Modena
Monza
Sampdoria
Monza
Bari
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Venezia
Monza
Reggiana
Monza
Palermo
Monza
Spezia
Monza
Cesena
Monza
Virtus Entella
Monza
Carrarese
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Sudtirol
Empoli
Avellino
Empoli
Venezia
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Empoli
Padova
Empoli
Sampdoria
Empoli
Pescara
Empoli
Spezia
Empoli
Mantova
Empoli
Catanzaro
Empoli
Bari
Empoli
Cesena
Empoli
Frosinone
Empoli
Reggiana
Empoli
Juve Stabia
Empoli
Palermo
Empoli
Modena
Empoli
Carrarese
Empoli
Sudtirol
Empoli
Cesena
Empoli
Frosinone
Monza
PRO Vercelli
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Modena
Monza
Bari
Monza
Venezia
Monza
Palermo
Monza
Virtus Entella
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Avellino
Monza
Pescara
Monza
Frosinone
Monza
Carrarese
Monza
Sudtirol
Monza
Cesena
Monza
Spezia
Monza
Reggiana
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Padova
Monza
Sampdoria
Empoli
Venezia
Empoli
Padova
Empoli
Sampdoria
Empoli
Spezia
Empoli
Catanzaro
Empoli
Bari
Empoli
Frosinone
Empoli
Palermo
Empoli
Carrarese
Empoli
Cesena
Empoli
Mantova
Empoli
Juve Stabia
Empoli
Avellino
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Empoli
Modena
Empoli
Sudtirol
Empoli
Genoa
Empoli
Pescara
Empoli
Reggiana
Empoli
Monza
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Monza
Home
|
38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 |
Empoli
Away
|
38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|