ITALY COPPA ITALIA
14.08.2026 18:45
Referee: M. Drigo
Monza
Match Timeline
Avellino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
G. Varela
Monza
45'
G. Varela · Assist: P. Cutrone
Monza
🟨
47'
Brando Moruzzi
Avellino
51'
O. Forson · Assist: P. Cutrone
Monza
🔄
55'
T. Biasci ↔ A. Favilli
Avellino
🔄
55'
D. Fila ↔ L. Pandolfi
Avellino
🔄
59'
L. Palmiero ↔ D. Sounas
Avellino
🔄
59'
M. Palumbo ↔ L. Di Maggio
Avellino
🔄
70'
R. Mangas ↔ A. Bakoune
Monza
🔄
70'
O. Forson ↔ A. Colpani
Monza
🔄
73'
L. Simic ↔ M. Venturi
Avellino
🔄
81'
S. Birindelli ↔ L. Lucchesi
Monza
🔄
81'
G. Varela ↔ A. Petagna
Monza
🔄
85'
M. Mout ↔ N. Galazzi
Monza
🟨
90+1'
Dimitrios Sounas
Avellino

Monza vs Avellino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Monza Win 40%
Draw 21.7%
Avellino Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Monza2.3
Avellino2.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Monza Monza
WWDLW
10 GF / 9 GA
Avellino Avellino
WLDWL
12 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
3
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
2
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Monza Monza 4 matches
Avellino Avellino 4 matches
Monza Statistic Avellino
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
10 Goals For 12
9 Goals Against 8
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 3
2.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2
3 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Monza won 2 times, Avellino won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Monza's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.3%)
Predicted formations: Monza 3-4-2-1 / Avellino 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Monza wins 2, draws 0, Avellino wins 1