Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Montpellier Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toulouse Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Montpellier1.15
Toulouse1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Montpellier
WWDLW
8 GF / 26 GA
Toulouse
WLDWL
7 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.88
3.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
5
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Montpellier
8 matches
Toulouse
8 matches
| Montpellier | Statistic | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 4 |
| 8 | Goals For | 7 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 3.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Montpellier won 8 times, Toulouse won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:20 from Montpellier's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.62 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Montpellier 4-3-3 / Toulouse 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Montpellier wins 8, draws 0, Toulouse wins 5
Last matches: Montpellier
21.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dunkerque
1
0
W
14.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
1
0
W
08.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dijon
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Montpellier
Rodez
4
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Cannes
3
4
L
17.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Le Puy Foot
5
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Aubagne
3
2
W
09.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
2
L
24.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Amiens
2
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Grenoble
2
1
W
10.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Annecy
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
20.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
PAU
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Laval
2
0
W
06.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
3
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Reims
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Rodez
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Le Mans
4
2
W
Last matches: Toulouse
22.08.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
0
2
L
15.08.26
Fri
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
H2H: Montpellier vs Toulouse
26.01.25
H2H
Toulouse
Montpellier
1
2
W
27.10.24
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
0
3
L
03.05.24
H2H
Toulouse
Montpellier
1
2
W
29.10.23
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
3
0
W
15.07.23
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
3
1
W
09.04.23
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
1
2
L
20.12.22
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
0
0
D
02.10.22
H2H
Toulouse
Montpellier
4
2
L
23.07.22
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
4
5
L
23.05.20
H2H
Toulouse
Montpellier
0
0
D
10.11.19
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
3
0
W
14.04.19
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
2
1
W
27.10.18
H2H
Toulouse
Montpellier
0
3
W
20.01.18
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
2
1
W
12.08.17
H2H
Toulouse
Montpellier
1
0
L
Last matches: Montpellier
08.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dijon
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Montpellier
Rodez
4
2
W
22.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Cannes
3
4
L
17.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Le Puy Foot
5
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Aubagne
3
2
W
02.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
2
L
17.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Grenoble
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
13.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Laval
2
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Reims
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Le Mans
4
2
W
30.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Guingamp
3
1
W
05.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dunkerque
1
3
L
06.12.25
Lig
Montpellier
PAU
0
1
L
07.11.25
Lig
Montpellier
Annecy
1
0
W
31.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Rodez
2
0
W
25.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
4
1
W
04.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
0
2
L
23.09.25
Lig
Montpellier
Boulogne
1
3
L
20.09.25
Lig
Montpellier
Bastia
2
0
W
H2H at home: Montpellier
27.10.24
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
0
3
L
29.10.23
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
3
0
W
15.07.23
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
3
1
W
09.04.23
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
1
2
L
20.12.22
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
0
0
D
23.07.22
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
4
5
L
10.11.19
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
3
0
W
14.04.19
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
2
1
W
20.01.18
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
2
1
W
Last matches: Toulouse
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
10.01.26
Cou
Toulouse
Angers
1
1
D
20.12.25
Cou
Toulouse
Lyon Duchere
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
3
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
0
1
L
05.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
21.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
1
L
14.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
1
2
L
16.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
1
0
W
H2H away: Toulouse
27.10.24
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
0
3
W
29.10.23
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
3
0
L
15.07.23
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
3
1
L
09.04.23
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
1
2
W
20.12.22
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
0
0
D
23.07.22
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
4
5
W
10.11.19
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
3
0
L
14.04.19
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
2
1
L
20.01.18
H2H
Montpellier
Toulouse
2
1
L
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
Away
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
Home
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation