Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Montpellier Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Montpellier1.14
Marseille2.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Montpellier
WWDLW
8 GF / 21 GA
Marseille
WLDWL
16 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
2.29
3
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
5
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Montpellier
7 matches
Marseille
7 matches
| Montpellier | Statistic | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 1 |
| 8 | Goals For | 16 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.29 |
| 3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Montpellier won 0 times, Marseille won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:32 from Montpellier's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Montpellier 4-3-3 / Marseille 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Montpellier wins 0, draws 5, Marseille wins 8
Last matches: Montpellier
21.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dunkerque
1
0
W
14.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
1
0
W
08.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dijon
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Montpellier
Rodez
4
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Cannes
3
4
L
17.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Le Puy Foot
5
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Aubagne
3
2
W
09.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
RED Star FC 93
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
2
L
24.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Amiens
2
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Grenoble
2
1
W
10.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Annecy
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
20.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
PAU
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Laval
2
0
W
06.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
3
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Reims
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Rodez
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Le Mans
4
2
W
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
H2H: Montpellier vs Marseille
19.04.25
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
5
1
L
20.10.24
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
0
5
L
25.02.24
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
4
1
L
20.12.23
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
1
1
D
31.03.23
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
02.01.23
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
1
2
L
10.04.22
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
2
0
L
29.01.22
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
08.08.21
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
2
3
L
10.04.21
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
3
3
D
06.01.21
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
3
1
L
05.08.20
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
0
0
D
14.03.20
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
0
0
D
21.09.19
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
1
D
24.05.19
H2H
Marseille
Montpellier
1
0
L
Last matches: Montpellier
08.08.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dijon
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Montpellier
Rodez
4
2
W
22.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Cannes
3
4
L
17.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Le Puy Foot
5
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Montpellier
Aubagne
3
2
W
02.05.26
Lig
Montpellier
Clermont Foot
1
2
L
17.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Grenoble
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Montpellier
Estac Troyes
2
2
D
13.03.26
Lig
Montpellier
Laval
2
0
W
27.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Reims
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Montpellier
Le Mans
4
2
W
30.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Guingamp
3
1
W
05.01.26
Lig
Montpellier
Dunkerque
1
3
L
06.12.25
Lig
Montpellier
PAU
0
1
L
07.11.25
Lig
Montpellier
Annecy
1
0
W
31.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Rodez
2
0
W
25.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Nancy
4
1
W
04.10.25
Lig
Montpellier
Saint Etienne
0
2
L
23.09.25
Lig
Montpellier
Boulogne
1
3
L
20.09.25
Lig
Montpellier
Bastia
2
0
W
H2H at home: Montpellier
20.10.24
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
0
5
L
20.12.23
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
1
1
D
02.01.23
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
1
2
L
08.08.21
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
2
3
L
10.04.21
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
3
3
D
14.03.20
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
0
0
D
Last matches: Marseille
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
31.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris FC
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Angers
5
2
W
13.01.26
Cou
Marseille
Bayeux
9
0
W
21.12.25
Cou
Marseille
Bourg-en-bresse 01
6
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
3
2
W
05.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Lille
0
1
L
21.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Nice
5
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Lens
1
2
L
22.10.25
UEF
Marseille
Sporting CP
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
0
W
26.09.25
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
1
W
H2H away: Marseille
20.10.24
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
0
5
W
20.12.23
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
1
1
D
02.01.23
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
1
2
W
08.08.21
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
2
3
W
10.04.21
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
3
3
D
14.03.20
H2H
Montpellier
Marseille
0
0
D
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
Away
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
Home
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation