FRANCE LIGUE 2
28.08.2026 18:00
Stade de la Mosson
Referee: Pierre Gaillouste, France
Montpellier
Match Timeline
Boulogne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Benjamin Besic
Boulogne
🟨
23'
Florian Tardieu
Montpellier
29'
Florian Tardieu
Montpellier
🟨
41'
Naoufel El Hannach
Montpellier
🟨
51'
Théo Brusco
Boulogne
🔄
60'
N. Vidal-Cartoux ↔ G. Ayem
Montpellier
🔄
61'
N. Mukiele ↔ Y. Issoufou
Montpellier
🔄
63'
J. Bultel ↔ J. Martin
Boulogne
🔄
63'
A. Platret ↔ A. Nassiri
Boulogne
🔄
74'
T. Epailly ↔ M. Soumah
Boulogne
🔄
74'
B. Besic ↔ N. Fatar
Boulogne
🟨
80'
Théo Brusco
Boulogne
🟥
80'
Théo Brusco
Boulogne
🔄
83'
↔ A. Pinot
Boulogne
🔄
90+2'
N. El Hannach ↔ D. Benlahlou
Montpellier

Montpellier vs Boulogne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 1.94
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.9%
1.69
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
1.94
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80%
1.55
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Montpellier Win 64.9%
Draw 4.3%
Boulogne Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Montpellier1.79
Boulogne0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Montpellier Montpellier
WWDLW
19 GF / 11 GA
Boulogne Boulogne
WLDWL
6 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.38
Average Goals Scored
0.6
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
1
4.67
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Montpellier Montpellier 8 matches
Boulogne Boulogne 10 matches
Montpellier Statistic Boulogne
6 Wins 2
1 Draws 4
1 Losses 4
19 Goals For 6
11 Goals Against 9
2.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
5 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 1
4 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 5
4.67 Shots On Goal 4
15.33 Total Shots 11
5.67 Corners 2.67
48% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Montpellier won 0 times, Boulogne won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Montpellier's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Montpellier 4-2-3-1 / Boulogne 5-3-2
H2H summary: Montpellier wins 0, draws 0, Boulogne wins 2

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 17:6 11 15
L W W W W
2 6 3 3 0 14:8 6 12
W D W W D
3 6 3 2 1 5:4 1 11
W L D W W
4 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L W D L W
5 5 2 3 0 8:4 4 9
W D D D W
6 6 2 3 1 3:4 -1 9
W D D W D
7 6 2 2 2 10:10 0 8
W D L L D
8 6 2 2 2 9:9 0 8
W D D L W
9 5 2 2 1 5:6 -1 8
W L D D W
10 6 2 1 3 4:4 0 7
L L W W L
11 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L L D W L
12 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
W L W L D
13 6 1 3 2 8:9 -1 6
W D L D L
14 6 0 5 1 2:3 -1 5
D D D D L
15 6 1 2 3 4:6 -2 5
L D D L W
16 6 0 5 1 3:5 -2 5
D D D D L
17 6 1 1 4 7:12 -5 4
L W D L L
18 6 1 1 4 7:13 -6 4
L L L D W
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3