Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
79.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
68.4%
|
- |
Monterrey
Puebla
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Monterrey
36 matches
Puebla
32 matches
| Monterrey | Statistic | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 14 | Losses | 19 |
| 59 | Goals For | 32 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 64 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 5.33 | Shots On Goal | 4.19 |
| 13.92 | Total Shots | 12.44 |
| 4.44 | Corners | 4.75 |
| 56.2% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Monterrey's more proactive style and Puebla's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Monterrey expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Puebla in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Puebla having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Puebla.
Monterrey sit 14 with 15 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 19:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Berterame (13 goals), S. Canales (13 goals), L. Ocampos (6 goals), with creative support from Óliver Torres (8 assists), S. Canales (6 assists), L. Ocampos (6 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Puebla sit 16 with 13 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 11:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Gomez (7 goals), R. Marin (6 goals), C. Baltazar (4 goals), with creative support from E. Gomez (5 assists), R. Marin (5 assists), C. Baltazar (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Monterrey won 8 times, Puebla won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:14 from Monterrey's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.
Monterrey
6
2
11
5
6
3
Lineups
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
Monterrey
Atlante FC
Monterrey
Cancún
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
Atlas
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
FC Juarez
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
Club Queretaro
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Monterrey
Leon
Monterrey
Xelajú
Monterrey
Club America
Monterrey
Xelajú
Monterrey
Club Tijuana
Puebla
Cruz Azul
Puebla
FC Juarez
Puebla
Atlas
Puebla
CF Pachuca
Puebla
Tlaxcala
Puebla
Club Queretaro
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
Leon
Puebla
FC Juarez
Puebla
Santos Laguna
Puebla
Necaxa
Puebla
CF Pachuca
Puebla
Tigres UANL
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
Puebla
Club America
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Puebla
Club Tijuana
Puebla
Toluca
Puebla
Cruz Azul
Puebla
Mazatlán
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
Club Queretaro
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
Monterrey
Leon
Monterrey
Xelajú
Monterrey
Club Tijuana
Monterrey
Toluca
Monterrey
Toluca
Monterrey
Club America
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
FC Juarez
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
Monterrey
Club America
Monterrey
Necaxa
Monterrey
Mazatlán
Puebla
Cruz Azul
Puebla
FC Juarez
Puebla
Atlas
Puebla
CF Pachuca
Puebla
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
Santos Laguna
Puebla
CF Pachuca
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
Puebla
Club Tijuana
Puebla
Cruz Azul
Puebla
Atlas
Puebla
Leon
Puebla
FC Juarez
Puebla
Club America
Puebla
Club Queretaro
Puebla
Necaxa
Puebla
Toluca
Puebla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Puebla
Tigres UANL
Puebla
Mazatlán
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Monterrey
Home
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Puebla
Away
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|